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Unbeaten filly Proxima Dea has emerged as a leading VRC Oaks contender after a thrilling win over older horses at Rosehill. [Bradley Photos]

Unbeaten filly Proxima Dea has emerged as a leading VRC Oaks contender after a thrilling win over older horses at Rosehill. [Bradley Photos]

$61 into $7.50?! Massive plunge headlines TAB market movers ahead of Oaks Day

: A stunning plunge from $61 into $7.50 headlines a wave of betting moves ahead of Oaks Day at Flemington.

Matt Welsh by Matt Welsh
November 4, 2026
in Tips
Reading Time: 5 mins read
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The money is flowing ahead of Oaks Day at Flemington, with TAB reporting several significant market moves and a string of big bets ahead of day three of the Melbourne Cup Carnival.

Last-start Spring Champion Stakes winner Proxima Dea is set to jump a dominant favourite in the VRC Oaks (2500m), with punters keen to stick with the filly.

That form received a significant boost on Derby Day when Stormy Marco, who came through the Spring Champion Stakes, claimed the Victoria Derby.

TAB has reported a $10,000 bet on Proxima Dea at $2.60, along with another $2,000 wager at $2.40.

But while Proxima Dea is attracting the big money, some of the most dramatic moves have come elsewhere on the card.

 

Rosa Aotearoa: $61 into $7.50

The most extraordinary move on the Oaks Day program belongs to Rosa Aotearoa, trained by emerging Pakenham horseman Reece Goodwin.

The gelding has been backed from a staggering $61 into just $7.50., coming off a last-start second on Bendigo Cup Day  It’s comfortably the biggest move at a price on the card, with the market suggesting punters are expecting a big performance.

Another Pakenham trained runner, Wetumpka, has also attracted support in Race 6, firming from $14 into $8.

 

Sequinned: $3.40 into $1.85

The lethal Chris Waller and James McDonald combination teams up with progressive filly Sequinned in Race 7, and punters have launched into the dominant last-start winner.

Sequinned has been crunched from $3.40 into $1.85, a massive move even allowing for 14 cents in deductions.

TAB has reported a $5,500 bet at $1.95 and another $3,000 wager struck at $2.90.

It’s one of the strongest moves on the program, with punters clearly expecting the filly to continue her winning ways.

 

Spex: $17 into $8.50

There’s been significant support at a longer price for Aaron Laing-trained Spex in the opener.

The daughter of Bivouac has been backed from $17 into $8.50, with the opening quote effectively halved ahead of the first race.

 

Cavalry Girl: $2.60 into $2.25

Tom Dabernig and Prime Thoroughbreds combined for a dominant victory with Shadavar earlier in the carnival, and punters are backing the combination to strike again.

Last-start winner Cavalry Girl has firmed from $2.60 into $2.25 in the get-out stakes, with TAB reporting a $3,500 bet at $2.30.

 

More Oaks Day market support

There has been no shortage of support elsewhere on the card.

You’re Not The King has firmed from $3.70 into $2.40 in Race 2, while Sass Appeal has been heavily backed from $2.50 into $1.65 in Race 4.

Perisher has shortened from $3.30 into $2.30 in Race 5, with a $2,000 bet reported at $2.60.

In the Oaks itself, De Armas has attracted plenty of interest, firming from $4.60 into $2.90. TAB has reported a $5,000 all-in wager at $4 and another $3,000 bet at $3.20.

Tharwa has also attracted a sizeable all-in wager, with $3,933 placed at $8.

 

Early Oaks Day firmers

Race Runner Was Now
R1 No.16 Spex $17 $8.50
R2 No.14 You’re Not The King $3.70 $2.40
R4 No.2 Sass Appeal $2.50 $1.65
R5 No.9 Perisher $3.30 $2.30
R6 No.5 Rosa Aotearoa $61 $7.50
R6 No.14 Wetumpka $14 $8.00
R7 No.3 Sequinned $3.40 $1.85
R8 No.4 De Armas $4.60 $2.90
R9 No.4 Cavalry Girl $2.60 $2.25

Early Oaks Day big bets

Race Runner Bet Odds
R8 Proxima Dea $10,000 $2.60
R7 Sequinned $5,500 $1.95
Oaks* De Armas $5,000 $4.00
Oaks* Tharwa $3,933 $8.00
R9 Cavalry Girl $3,500 $2.30
R7 Sequinned $3,000 $2.90
R8 De Armas $3,000 $3.20
R5 Perisher $2,000 $2.60
R8 Proxima Dea $2,000 $2.40
Tags: FlemingtonOaks DayProxima DeaRosa AotearoaSequinnedSpexTAB Big BetsTAB Market MoversVRC Oaks
Matt Welsh

Matt Welsh

Matt Welsh is the founder of Betsy and one of Australia’s most respected form analysts. A former executive at Racing.com and Racing Victoria, Matt has built a reputation for market-leading analysis, clear communication, and a deep understanding of both racing and wagering. With Betsy, he has assembled a team of trusted, high-quality form analysts dedicated to delivering expert analysis that will arm Betsy punters for a winning day at the races.

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