Summary of Best Bets
Best Bet: Race 1 – (5) Money Honey
Race by race overview
Race 1
(5) Money Honey is the well-related full-sister to Profiteer. She made a strong impression on debut, firming from $17 into $11 by jump time.
Andrew Bobbin is 0 from 97 with first starters over the past three years, so it’s reasonable to expect she’ll improve sharply from that first outing.
(1) Autumn Charm has had early support on debut. Bred to appreciate further and drawn wide, she doesn’t look likely to race prominently.
(2) East Indies was given plenty to do at Pakenham on resumption and can improve quickly.
(7) Velocite Belle is very green and may need the experience.
Selections:
(5) Money Honey
(1) Autumn Charm
(2) East Indies
(7) Velocite Belle
Suggested Bet: Money Honey (5) (Best Bet)
Race 2
(1) Bonus Season missed the start for Emily Pozman when resuming, but is unlikely to make that mistake again under Jordan Childs. She has led previously, so settling in the first four is more than reasonable to expect.
(4) Farakta made a good debut at Pakenham, but I’d expect the market to trend toward Bonus Season before they jump.
(7) Tisseyre started shorter than Bonus Season when they met at Geelong. She’ll appreciate further, but is a chance to upset the favourite.
(6) Kokeshi ran to a strong level on resumption and was only fair last start, though five furlongs may have been a touch sharp.
Selections:
(1) Bonus Season
(4) Farakta
(7) Tisseyre
(6) Kokeshi
Suggested Bet: Bonus Season (1)
Race 3
(5) Pasadena was good on debut, was sent for a spell, and has returned well at the jump-outs. Even money in places is far too short, but she still has to be favourite.
(8) Boa Vista hasn’t raced in 340 days but has shown ability in three starts and has jumped out well.
(1) I’m Da Boss was good on debut despite starting at big odds. He was well positioned relative to the pace, though.
(6) Tagamate sat close to a strong speed first up and can make the pace here.
Selections:
(5) Pasadena
(8) Boa Vista
(1) I’m Da Boss
(6) Tagamate
Race 4
(1) Houdini has been in great form for Gavin Bedgood this campaign. He’ll race prominently and regains Ethan Brown.
(4) Lario was well handled by Zakouma last start. There should be more between Houdini and Lario in the market.
(3) Diamond Gust was well beaten by Salty Pearl last start, but this is a drop in grade and he won well the start prior. It wouldn’t surprise to see him peak here.
(7) Move The Torana ran well to win at this course last start. A repeat makes her competitive.
Selections:
(1) Houdini
(4) Lario
(3) Diamond Gust
(7) Move The Torana
Race 5
(4) Brutal Tempo was heavily supported on debut and finished strongly into third. Seven furlongs will suit him better.
(9) Upstage has plenty of talent but has been slow away consistently. At 6/4, there’s no great incentive to take the short quote.
(8) Simply Gold might find seven furlongs a touch sharp, but is talented enough.
(7) Silky Seth comes through a race where three of the runners have already produced subsequent winners.
Selections:
(4) Brutal Tempo
(9) Upstage
(8) Simply Gold
(7) Silky Seth
Race 6
(6) That’smoneybrother should improve sharply away from Yarra Valley and up to 1100 metres. He can settle closer and gets blinkers for the first time.
(4) Empire Song raced poorly at Caulfield, but it was a high-pressure race and he was first up. He can improve quickly.
(3) Bruiser Murphy will appreciate more ground than this. He finished very strongly from the rear in a slow race at Pakenham last start.
(9) Barari can certainly win if she recaptures her best form, though she’s been plain this preparation.
Selections:
(6) That’smoneybrother
(4) Empire Song
(3) Bruiser Murphy
(9) Barari
Race 7
(9) Simply Outrageous returned better than ever first up, then was shuffled back to the rear at Pakenham. He can settle just off the speed and is poised to peak again.
(8) Pula was beaten in a speed test at Sandown last start. I’m not convinced the drop in trip suits, and the map looks tricky.
(2) Vianarra is reliable and races on pace.
(5) Quello Dorato can improve quickly after a poor first-up run.
Selections:
(9) Simply Outrageous
(8) Pula
(2) Vianarra
(5) Quello Dorato
Race 8
(5) Street Conqueror improved last start and should appreciate a suitable run.
(7) Dobkins raced wide and won well last start. She’ll only improve second-up and can settle forward of midfield from an inside draw.
(11) Love Symbol was better than it reads on paper on Australian debut.
(8) Sussex Duchess will appreciate a strong tempo, which looks likely.
Selections:
(5) Street Conqueror
(7) Dobkins
(11) Love Symbol
(8) Sussex Duchess
