Summary of Best Bets:
Race 5 – Backing No.3 El Paso Citie (BEST BET)
Race 8 – Backing No.5 Artpark
Turf Talk:
- The track is rated a Good 4. Weather in the lead-up has been warm and while conditions are cooler today, no rain is expected.
- The rail will be +2m from the 800m to the 600m, with the remainder in the True position, consistent with the past six meetings.
- In similar conditions at the previous meeting the track played fairly, and a similar set-up is expected again today.
Stats that matter:
- Darryl Dodson continues to place his horses well and the stable is in form, striking at 19% with a POT of +53.1%. The team also performs strongly at Naracoorte with a POT of +22.6%.
- Rochelle Milnes has dipped slightly on last season’s form, but she rides Naracoorte well historically, striking at 20.7% with a POT of +48.4%.
Race by race overview
Race 5:
(3) El Paso Citie recently won two races in succession before stepping up sharply in grade at Murray Bridge, where she had little luck in running. That effort is forgivable and dropping back in grade, combined with a return to her home track where she has already won over this trip, sets up a much more suitable scenario. From barrier three she should settle in a strong position.
(6) Naralinga shapes as the main danger but may have work to do from a wider draw if forced to settle back in the field.
(1) Santastico and (2) Emerald Reward both have claims in what is a competitive race at this level.
Selections:
(3) El Paso Citie
(6) Naralinga
(1) Santastico
(2) Emerald Reward
Suggested Bet: Backing (3) El Paso Citie (Win)
Race 8:
(5) Artpark has been impossible to ignore on recent form, winning her past two starts by a combined eight lengths. She was dominant here before confirming her suitability at 1400m with another strong win at Penola, and remains at that trip today. The race shape looks more favourable and she maps for a much better run, giving her every chance to continue her winning streak.
(4) Belongtojill, (2) Wichitall and (10) Sethacchio all have minor claims, but will need to lift to match Artpark if she reproduces her current form.
Selections:
(5) Artpark
(4) Belongtojill
(2) Wichitall
(10) Sethacchio
Suggested Bet: Backing (5) Artpark (Win)
