Favourites win plenty of races. But the real thrill, and often the real value, lies in finding the one the market hasn’t fully caught up with.
Betsy’s Bolters, proudly supported by Unibet, is our weekly search for punting gold. We dive deep into the replays, sectionals and market profiles to uncover runners flying under the radar, horses sitting at double-figure odds but with far more upside than their price suggests.
These aren’t wild darts. They’re calculated swings at big prices.
All odds are courtesy of Unibet (correct as at 07/05/26 at 2100)
Morphettville – Mitch Lewis
Race 7 No.4 Lingani ($21/$5 at Unibet)
In genuinely wet conditions (4) Lingani can run well here at a huge price. Her better form comes on wet ground, and she is yet to get suitable conditions this prep so we are likely going to see sharp improvement from her in the expected conditions.
Race 8 No.3 Grand Larceny ($12/$3.50)
Was taken by the huge run of (3) Grand Larceny when he exploded out of the pack to run away and win The John Hawkes Stakes over the 1100m. He has scope to improve second-up and should handle the rise to the 1200m trip based on that last start.
The highest rated run of his career came on a heavy track so he can handle the wet and he gets a set-up that is expected to suit so he could be capable of putting in a career peak performance for this.
Caulfield – Matt Welsh
Race 3 No.11 Himalayan ($13/$3.80)
(11) Himalayan is right in the game. Ran two seconds quicker than the other 1650m race on the day in breaking her maiden at Werribee last start. No match for Boomeroo, who has since run second in Stakes company in SA, at Sale the start prior, but they belted their rivals and she didn’t have much luck at her first two runs this campaign. Maps for a lovely trail. Big price at $15.
Race 6 No.2 Philosopher ($18/$4.80)
(2) Philosopher probably doesn’t want it too wet, but on a dry track he’d be a huge hope. And, frankly, he hasn’t really been tested on wet ground, so it’s more an unknown. He was very good in the Discovery at Ballarat. Granted, he had the run through on the right part of the track, but he was closing on Geegees Mistruth on the line and that mare has since won a Group 1. Wide draw no issue from the chute and given he can miss the kick it’s probably a positive, if anything. Nice claim gets him away from Bustling in the weights.
Race 9 No.3 Per Sempre ($16/$4.60)
(3) Per Sempre is a marvel. Was on her first up at a big price and for a fleeting moment thought she might knock off the hot-pot. Form in recent times has been outstanding. Drawn out, but don’t think that will be an issue late in the day and only one bend to navigate. She will be somewhere thereabouts again and will go around over the odds.
