Today’s Betsy’s Bests – Warracknabeal
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Best Bet: Race 3 No.7 Symphonette ($4.80)
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Best Bet: Race 4 No.13 Chouxdino ($4.60)
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Roughie: Race 9 No.13 Paradise Island ($34 +)
Track Pattern Outlook:
- Short, 210m home straight
- 1000m chute is very close to the home bend
- Warracknabeal traditionally favours horses on speed and closer to the rail
- Advantage anything drawn to lead or drawn low that can settle handy
Key Warracknabeal Stats:
- Linda Meech is striking at 22.7% at Warracknabeal – no surprise with her front-running style.
- Brad Rawiller is close on Meech’s heels, going at 21.7% from 60 runners.
- The Jordyn Weatherly/Tom Dabernig combination is going at 26% with a PoT of 33.6%.
Overview:
Race 1 – No.7 Tuxedo Miss E/W
Meisho comes up very short. She has the form on the board and the speed to lead, but I wasn’t 100% convinced by her trial and couldn’t take the short odds.
Tuxedo Miss has had two trials since joining the Alexander yard (formerly with Team Hayes) and looked good in both. She can settle handy from a good draw and should get every hope in the run. Over the odds at around $10.
Race 3 – No.7 Symhonette
The Weatherly/Dabernig combo is lethal, and they team up here with Symphonette. Forget her Colac run in February – she got a mile back on a mad leaders’ track before having little luck in the straight. Her two trials this time in have been excellent and, with luck in running, I think she wins. Zoucat has had her chances in similarly weak maidens this prep – the track pattern suits her but I couldn’t get involved at $2.50.
Race 4 – No.13 Chouxdino
Looks a race in two between Sweater Girl and Chouxdino. Chouxdino resumes off two good jump-outs and his Ararat and Ballarat runs at the end of last campaign are good enough to win this. He can press forward with Yendall aboard in a race lacking tempo, and with a half-decent run will be hard to beat. Over the odds, while Sweater Girl looks too short.
Race 9 – No.13 Paradise Island
Not a moral, but this mare looks a ridiculous price at $34. Her peak ratings are well above anything her rivals have produced. Most of her recent racing has been in BM64+ company and she now drops to a moderate 0-58. She has trialled well ahead of her return to the races and her first-up record is solid.
