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Betsy’s Bolters – Finding diamonds in the rough

Forget the favourites. We’re digging in the rough, unearthing the runners that can turn small stakes into serious treasure.

Matt Welsh by Matt Welsh
February 21, 2026
in News
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Favourites win plenty of races. But the real thrill, and often the real value, lies in finding the one the market hasn’t fully caught up with.

Betsy’s Bolters, proudly supported by Unibet, is our weekly search for punting gold. We dive deep into the replays, sectionals and market profiles to uncover runners flying under the radar, horses sitting at double-figure odds but with far more upside than their price suggests.

These aren’t wild darts. They’re calculated swings at big prices.

All odds are courtesy of Unibet (correct as at 21/2/26 at 7am).

Rosehill – Dean Watling

Race 9 No.11 Mareth ($11)

Progressive 3yo filly, she comes off an eye-catching run at Gosford and has been kept right up to the mark with a slick trial. Right in this.

Morphettville – Mitch Lewis

Race 7 No.15 Isuspectjeu ($31)

Needs to take a considerable jump up in class here to win at Group level, but looks to appreciate stepping in distance again having ran the fastest closing sectionals in the Listed Premiers Plate. May be capabale of our grinding this field.

Caulfield – Will Elford

Race 8 No.7 Milsons Point ($34)

He’s untested beyonf ive furlongs, but his stride would suggest that six may be his optimal distance. Looks a big price in a race many are a distance query.

Caulfield – Matt Welsh

Race 4 Backing No.11 Mr Epozino ($17) / No.13 Abrafo ($23)

(13) Abrafo led when winning his maiden at Seymour but think that was more to get the maiden out of the way and due to a lack of tempo. His win didn’t look pretty, but I reckon he’s a stayer who was in a sit-sprint affair. It took him a long time to wind through his gears. A strong tempo at 1800m should be right up his alley and from a soft draw he should do no work in the run.

(11) Mr Epozino is another roughie with a hope. He was a surprise winner on debut at Seymour but he was super strong on the line there at 1300m. He took on the older horses in a handy BM62 at Pakenham last start and only really got clear the last furlong, but his work to and through the line was super. Step to 1800m looks ideal and from gate one he should get a soft run just off the speed.

Race 10 No.3 Kings Valley ($17)

(3) Kings Valley has a winning hope first up. He was excellent in a Ballarat jump-out and is a horse that runs well fresh. Despite being a horse that gets out in trip as the campaign unfolds, he is capable of taking up a handy position at 1400m. Granted it was a mile, but his first up run behind El Rocko and Too Darn Discreet at the start of spring was good, definitely strong enough to measure up here.

Tags: Best betsBlue Diamond TipsRoughiesUnibet
Matt Welsh

Matt Welsh

Matt Welsh is the founder of Betsy and one of Australia’s most respected form analysts. A former executive at Racing.com and Racing Victoria, Matt has built a reputation for market-leading analysis, clear communication, and a deep understanding of both racing and wagering. With Betsy, he has assembled a team of trusted, high-quality form analysts dedicated to delivering expert analysis that will arm Betsy punters for a winning day at the races.

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