The track – unique features of Gold Coast 1400m course, advantages PIR/barriers:
- Rail +2m, Soft 5 – showers
- On pacers have an advantage at Gold Coast with a win strike rate of 11.1%
- Backmarkers are losing at 11.7% POT
- Inside barriers are performing best however not a positive ROI. The track usually plays quite fair
Speed map & tempo:
The tempo looks even in the Guineas. O’ Ole should roll further forward with the Blinkers on first time:
Positive/negative jockey/trainer worth highlighting:
- Matthew Dunn and Ben Melham are winning at 25% S/R with a ROI of 39.3%
- Bjorn Baker and Jason Collett are boasting a healthy 59.9% ROI
Past 5 winners with Racelab Performance Rating:
This table outlines the Racelab rating achieved by each of the past five winners when taking out the Magic Millions 3yo Guineas. It gives an indication of the level required to win the race in recent years for a few different levels of weight carried, margin spread and race quality.
| Date | Horse | Age | Sex | Weight | Margin | Racelab Rating |
| 17/1/25 | Bousustow 3C | 56.0kg | 0.2L | 96.2 |
| 13/1/24 | Abounding 3F | 54.5kg | 0.2L | 95.2 |
| 19/1/23 | Fashion Legend 3G | 57.0kg | 0.3L | 97.9 |
| 15/1/22 | King Of Sparta 3G | 56.0kg | 1.25L | 98.0 |
| 16/1/21 | Aim 3C | 56.0kg | 1.75L | 96.8 |
Racelab benchmark likely to be required to win this year’s edition of the Magic Millions 3yo Guineas:
Based off the final field, their recent form, and potential Racelab Prime Rating, the below figures give an indication of what horses will need to achieve based on their weight carried under the WFA scale to win.
| Weight | Rating |
| 57.0kg | 97.2 |
| 56.0kg | 96.4 |
| 55.0kg | 95.5 |
| 54.5kg | 95.1 |
| 54.0kg | 94.8 |
The Racelab Prime Ratings for each horse can be seen in the screenshot below:
The ratings/market:
Based off a range of data, speed map and recent form, Racelab has come up with its own 100% market, which is compared to the current market in the table below. Value exists where the Racelab price is lower than the current price.
The verdict and betting strategy:
Field of seventeen runners in the Guineas and the speed appears even. Jimmy’s Brother is likely to take up the running from barrier seven and O’ Ole sitting handy with the shades on. Ninja rounded them up and ran away with an easy win in the Vo Rogue Plate. He’s the one they all have to beat, the draw makes it tricky but he’s got some serious ability. Jimmy’s Brother had a bit left in the locker last start and could improve again here. The same can be said about Cellarmaster and we know he can run the distance.
Suggested Bet:
Ninja (WIN)
Cellarmaster (1 x 3)
Jimmy’s Brother (1 x 3)
Legend:
| Name | Definition |
| Prime Rating | Expected rating figure for the upcoming race based on historical performances |
| Job To Do (JTD) | The minimum rating required for each runner to win the race using a combination of metrics: Benchmark, Weight Carried, Mean Weight and Distance. |
