Summary of Best Bets:
Race 4 (8) Golden Eyes
Race 8 (1) Ouroboros
Turf Talk:
- Rail 8m
- With the rail out 8m I would expect this to be a bit of a leaders track and should be an advantage to be on the fence in run also.
- But as always, wait and see as the day unfolds.
Stats that matter:
- Ryan Maloney has 11 winners from his last 50 rides and in good form. Is striking at 19.3% for the last 12 months.
- Ben Thompson has 12 winners from his last 50 rides and an extremely strong book of rides here today.
Race by race overview
Race 1:
The bottom two have far less convictions and could fight this out. They haven’t drawn well but look to have upside. (9) Silent Thinker is with the Dunn stable and was a solid 3rd on debut at the GC over 1300m. Fitter and back to 1200m is not a big concern.
(10) Zous A Chance was back in a very slow run race and was the best L200m there. Could improve sharply off the run.
(6) Machtig Havanagila looks a one paced type but can be on speed for a long way and has a light weight.
Selections:
(9) Silent Thinker
(10) Zous A Chance
(6) Machtig Havangila
(2) Svasteel
Suggested Bet: No bet
Race 2:
(8) Listen Jani has been good at both career runs. Was on speed and brave last start although beaten on the line. From the wide gate I would expect the apprentice to be aggressive early.
(2) Extreme Taste wasn’t far off the above horse last time out and can improve fitness wise. Likely to get back from the gate is a little concern.
(6) Assumed has been well beaten at each run. She is an I Am Invincible filly and in the Waller stable so you have to respect. That Sydney form might well be much stronger.
(5) Arctic Bright is consistent but just doesn’t win.
Selections:
(8) Listen Jani
(6) Assumed
(2) Extreme Taste
(5) Arctic Bright
Suggested Bet: Small win (8) Listen Jani
Race 3:
800m dash and always luck involved here.
I liked what I witnessed first prep with (4) Another Champers. Showed speed and can be a stronger horse this time in work. Trial was good an gets chance.
(2) Laurels was a big trial winner and showed speed there. Gate 2 is a bonus and can be in this for a long way.
(5) Sun Sister went around in some handy races last time in work. Hasn’t been seen at the trial this prep and if there is money for this stable, you can promote this horse. Is a winner this track/trip.
Thought the trials of (11) Queen Olympias and (12) Tassy Devil were good enough to win on debut and not surprise.
Selections:
(4) Another Champers
(5) Sun Sister
(2) Laurels
(12) Tassy Devil
(11) Queen Olympias
Suggested Bet: No bet
Race 4:
Small field but I am a big fan of (8) Golden Eyes and the Bruce stable haven’t found the ceiling with him yet. Comes here off two solid wins and 2000m should not be an issue. Thompson on is just another positive.
Dominant win in a plain race last start by (1) Stranglehold. He has been consistent since joining the new stable and clearly the best late last start over the 1800m. Looks a suitable target.
(2) Yukanuma and (6) Golden Smilemight be next best in a race that drops away pretty quickly to be honest.
Selections:
(8) Golden Eyes
(1) Stranglehold
(2) Yukanuma
(6) Golden Smile
Suggested Bet: Win (8) Golden Eyes
Race 5:
Don’t love the get back style of (11) Riez Souvant but I reckon he might have the most upside in the race. It will take a good ride but Thompson is on and he’s the best we have up here. Rock hard fit 4th up and the one to beat with even luck in running.
(2) Kunderbung is alright but is a bit of a ‘follower’. Last couple have had some merit, just lacks a turn of foot to win races.
(1) Caishen has also been a pass mark this prep. Fitter for three runs back and ready to show best now. Needs a good ride from the outside gate.
Selections:
(11) Riez Souvant
(1) Caishen
(2) Kunderbung
(10) Hard As Brok
Suggested Bet: Win (11) Riez Souvant
Race 6:
Not much would surprise here.
(6) Moshulu Spirit looks to be a handy one on the way up. Two runs for two win this prep and another good ride for Thompson.
(1) Mishani Crown had an excellent prep when last in work. She is 2/2 at this track and has won a recent barrier trial. Claim helps and is a winning hope.
They look the main two and very little between all the others. (4) Petite Palace has run well here and was runner up to Balance The Books who has since franked the form.
Selections:
(7) Moshulu Spirit
(1) Mishani Crown
(4) Petite Palace
(3) Joy A Plenty
Suggested Bet: No
Race 7:
(2) Petite Palace has run well here and was runner up to Balance The Books who has since franked the form. The 3kg claim will help and inside gate a bonus too.
(9) Artistic Endeavour was a 13 start maiden until last start so I don’t want to get too carried away with the win. Could get some confidence from it though and has run well at this track.
Thinking Gollan might be positive with (12) Chantilly. Has been consistent without being great. Winner at Gatton last start and just 54kg after the claim.
(13) Flaxlands is Waller and both runs this prep have been decent. 45 days between runs and she could be competitive.
(1) No Name Frank would win on his best form. Couple of months between runs so look for some market support.
Selections:
(2) Petite Palace
(12) Chantilly
(1) No Name Frank
(13) Flaxlands
(9) Artistic Endeavour
Suggested Bet: No
Race 8:
(3) Ouroboros is super consistent, sits on speed and well placed here. Tries at the 1350m at this track for the first time last tart and just run down late. Last 50m is the query but he has a bit of class.
(1) Gorbachev won multiple races last prep and has trialled well. Moor rides and has 60kg. Has the ability to carry that and win.
Impossible to catch (5) Aldofito but anything like the last effort and he could win. The form before that doesn’t give you much confidence though.
(12) Chica Mojito is a Group level horse and she comes here off the Listed race where she was lapped. Huge drop in grade and her best would win.
Selections:
(3) Ouroboros
(1) Gorbachev
(12) Chica Mojito
(6) Chicago Fireball
(5) Aldofito
Suggested Bets: Win (3) Ouroboros
