Summary of Best Bets
Best Bet: Race 6 #1 Stokomo
Next Best: Race 1 #3 Make Me A Star
Best Value: Race 7 #1 Bolted In
Turf Talk
- Clear weather conditions are forecast for today’s meeting which should see the track rated a Good 4.
- The rail returns to the true position for this meeting.
- Give a slight advantage to on-speed types in dry conditions at this track.
Stats that matter
- The Andrew Gluyas stable is in hot form with 19 winners from its past 100 starters, producing a POT return of +18.5%.
- Tala Hutchinson has been a good apprentice to follow recently, riding 16 winners from her last 100 rides with a POT of +19.5%.
Race by race overview
Race 1
(3) Make Me A Star resumes for her second prep having found a good level last time in work when winning her maiden and going on to place in some stronger Saturday races that read as good form references for this. She kicks off this prep down in grade, which suits.
(4) Our Little Star is on the quick back-up having been well supported last week, perhaps didn’t get the run to suit perfectly and may look to lead in this, which suits at this track.
(2) Good Expectations comes into this fresh. She is lightly raced but caught the eye on debut before coming out and winning here next start, and maps well from the low barrier.
(5) Dazelles has finished midfield in her last two runs but can be an improver today dropping down in grade.
Selections:
(3) Make Me A Star
(4) Our Little Star
(2) Good Expectations
(5) Dazelles
Suggested Bet: (3) Make Me A Star win
Race 2
(11) Thundara and (4) Jumbo Jet crossed the line closely together when they met at Morphettville last start. Happy to give (11) Thundara the chance to flip that result here as she sets up for a much better run from barrier one, and the rise in distance looks suitable.
(4) Jumbo Jet did run well there and can again be prominent in an easier race.
(8) Majestic Glow was racing on speed here on debut but was still running well late to hold on to second. She can handle a rise in distance off that performance and should be fitter here today.
(9) Prancing Lily ran well in a similar race last time and can certainly figure again in a similar set-up with a light weight once more.
Selections:
(11) Thundara
(4) Jumbo Jet
(8) Majestic Glow
(9) Prancing Lily
Suggested Bet: No bet
Race 3
(3) Rob The Bank makes his debut for a new stable in this today. On paper this race looks to lack early speed, which could see him settle in a forward position and get a soft run out in front. If it plays out like that, he could prove hard to catch.
(2) Takeover Lad has mixed his form so far this prep but drops in grade, which should help him find some improvement, and he may settle closer in this race which should suit.
(6) Testa Dexta resumes. He has won first-up into a prep previously and has a strong record at this track, so he sets up well.
(4) Royal Trapeze ran a close third over this same track and distance two starts back before tackling a longer race last time. He looks better suited back to this set-up today.
Selections:
(3) Rob The Bank
(2) Takeover Lad
(6) Testa Dexta
(4) Royal Trapeze
Suggested Bet: No bet
Race 4
(2) Leliyn looks close to breaking through for a maiden win having run two close seconds in his last two runs at this track. He steps up to 1200m here, which could help him take the next step given his fast finish last start.
(13) Tikkamos is second-up here today having made his debut running third behind an impressive two-year-old. He may find this a much easier race than that debut run.
(12) Mystrix was well supported on debut at Morphettville but performed below expectations there. She did show good speed and can improve fresh at this track and grade.
(10) Alpine Lee mixed form in her debut campaign and is now resuming for a new prep. At her best she should be capable of winning in this grade.
Selections:
(2) Leliyn
(13) Tikkamos
(12) Mystrix
(10) Alpine Lee
Suggested Bet: No bet
Race 5
(3) Born To Shine hasn’t shown a lot so far this prep, but if she is ever going to get her chance to improve it will be in a race like this at a track that should suit her pattern. Expect her to race on speed for a long way.
(2) Nadege ran well in a similar race last start. She may not have been fully suited in a race with a slow tempo, and on paper they map to go quicker here which may set her up better.
(4) Lady Memphis had a confidence-building win last start and may be able to build off that effort. She sticks to the 1200m trip, which is ideal.
(1) Minato won her maiden last start and looks to build through the grades now. She can race on speed, which will suit at this track.
Selections:
(3) Born To Shine
(2) Nadege
(4) Lady Memphis
(1) Minato
Suggested Bet: No bet
Race 6
(1) Stokomo has been competitive this prep with three second placings but no win. Down in grade today, this appears to be the easiest race he has contested this preparation and he can race on speed, which generally suits here.
(4) Causeweluvadelaide gave nothing else a chance when winning at this track and distance last time out. She maps similarly and can handle the rise in grade now.
(6) Tofino has run into the placings at his last two starts and is at peak fitness. Prefer him coming back to the 1400m trip today.
(7) In That Mode makes his debut for a new stable today. He didn’t show much in recent runs but looked better in a recent trial and can improve.
Selections:
(1) Stokomo
(4) Causeweluvadelaide
(6) Tofino
(7) In That Mode
Suggested Bet: (1) Stokomo win
Race 7
(1) Bolted In was a winner at this track and distance two starts back before tackling a stronger race. Proven at this set-up and maps well again, he can bounce back to winning form here.
(9) Morlaix continues to run well without winning, having now placed at her last four starts. She generally needs luck when getting too far back in the field, but she is going well and will be hitting the line strongly again.
(4) United Legend is third-up into this prep now and should be suited getting up to the 1600m trip in a race down in grade from his last two runs.
(10) Rikki Rikkardo is up to the 1600m trip third-up now. She hasn’t missed the placings from three runs at this distance previously.
Selections:
(1) Bolted In
(9) Morlaix
(4) United Legend
(10) Rikki Rikkardo
Suggested Bet: (1) Bolted In win
