Summary of Best Bets:
Race 5 No.3 Regal Tycoon – Best Bet.
Race 8 No.9 Hot Blue – Value Bet.
Turf Talk:
- Track expected to race as a Good 4 throughout the meeting due to warm conditions.
- Rail +9m, further out than last week.
- With this rail position, an advantage usually sits with runners who can settle in the front half of the field.
Stats that matter:
- Logan Bates has a strong record at Cranbourne, striking at 18.9% with a POT of +18.8%. He has four rides on the program.
- John McArdle brings three runners to the meeting and has found good form in his last 100 starters with 20 wins and a POT of +30.4%.
Race by race overview
Race 5:
(3) Regal Tycoon has found super form this prep, producing three wins and two seconds from five starts. Importantly, she maps as the stand-alone leader in this race and if allowed to control the tempo up front, she could prove very hard to run down on a track expected to suit on-speed runners.
(5) Metallic Ruler is racing consistently and should get a reasonable run in transit, giving him a chance to be competitive late.
(1) Arizona Activist draws well and can hold a prominent position, which is often an advantage under these conditions.
(6) Queen Of Tuscany has ability and may be able to improve if the tempo is genuine.
Selections:
(3) Regal Tycoon
(5) Metallic Ruler
(1) Arizona Activist
(6) Queen Of Tuscany
Suggested Bet: (3) Regal Tycoon WIN
Race 8:
(9) Hot Blue won well on debut at Seymour from an on-speed position before another solid run at Mornington, finishing just 0.6 lengths from the winner. He remains in a similar grade here and, with a favourable race map, should be able to go close again if he holds that recent form.
(7) Prince Of Brooky is lightly raced and has upside, with the potential to be prominent in the run.
(6) Maxxi Bon has been competitive in similar company and can be thereabouts with the right run.
(1) Masterful draws to get every chance and can feature if he runs up to his best.
Selections:
(9) Hot Blue
(7) Prince Of Brooky
(6) Maxxi Bon
(1) Masterful
Suggested Bet: (9) Hot Blue EACH-WAY
