Betsy’s Set: Gawler

Turf Talk:

• Clear conditions are forecast so expect that the track will remain at a Good rating for the entirety of the meeting.
• The rail pushes out slightly from the previous meeting and will be +7m 800m – 400m, +5m Remainder, runners generally come away from the inside lanes in the straight.
• Slight favouring to runners who settle forwards of midfield in the run in this condition set up.

Key Stats:

• Travis Doudle brings 2 runners to this meeting and generally his team performs well here, he boasts a winning strike rate of 17.6% at a POT of +10.4% from 199 runners.
• Campbell Rawiller is in good form, off the back of a double Saturday he has ridden 15 winners in his last 100 rides at a POT of +31.7%.

Race by race overview

Race 1

(5) Paganini looks close to a breakthrough given he has run into the placings in his last 3 starts. He was strong through the line over the 1800m trip last time so rising in trip here looks likely to suit.

(7) Fiora Blue was well in the market in a race over this same track/distance set up last start, this is a slight drop down in grade from that run which should suit.

(1) Bocheeva & (6) Thavma are two runners who look likely to be suited with positive runs and will both likely race near the front of the field. Bocheeva looks the stronger of the two chances dropping in grade.

Selections:
(5) Paganini
(7) Fiora Blue
(1) Bocheeva
(6) Thavma

Suggested Bet – No bet, tough race to have full confidence in

Race 2

(8) Kiss And Kaboom made a solid return to work earlier this month when finishing a close 2nd here at this track. This is a similar level race for her, still on her home track, can improve enough to be winning.

(2) Mr Zeus makes his debut for a new stable today. Well in the market in both Victorian runs and maps to race on speed, all indicators suggest he can perform well fresh.

(5) Brimarvi Rosemarie ran a close 2nd in her last start in a stronger rated Maiden at Morphettville, she maps for a softer run today from a better barrier so can improve.

(10) Vaniteux ran into the placings on debut before heading straight to the paddock, she can threaten here with a level of improvement from the break.

Selections:
(8) Kiss And Kaboom
(2) Mr Zeus
(5) Brimarvi Rosemarie
(10) Vaniteux

Suggested Bet – No bet, looks a very open Maiden to be betting into

Race 3

(1) Chur Nibble is a fascinating watch here, making his debut in the country having arrived from New Zealand. His NZ form was very solid with out a breakthrough win and he did show good early speed there which should serve him well at this track.

(6) Flaming Eyes has been consistent of late having run into the placings in 4 of his last 5 starts. The drop in distance is a small query but expect she can be around the mark.

(8) Splash Of White ran a close 2nd last start, she looks likely to lead again and will need full control of the tempo here to be strong late.

(10) Cynane can race prominently from barrier 2 which should suit.

Selections:
(1) Chur Nibble
(6) Flaming Eyes
(8) Splash Of White
(10) Cynane

Suggested Bet – No bet, watching market moves for Chur Nibble closely

Race 4

(1) Dunreal was solid through the line when resuming at Murray Bridge late last month. Coming into the race fresh here and rising in trip looks likely to suit after that last start, he will be suited here dropping down in grade.

(4) Broadway Dancer is another who looks likely to appreciate a rise in trip here today given how she hit the line in her last start win.

(7) Prince Reichweite should be suited here today dropping back down in grade.

(3) Bad To The Bone broke through for a maiden win two starts ago at Penola, his last run was solid and he can get into a prominent position in run so expect to see him around the mark again.

Selections:
(1) Dunreal
(4) Broadway Dancer
(7) Prince Reichweite
(3) Bad To The Bone

Suggested Bet – Dunreal (Win)

Race 5

(3) Kersee was solid when running into the placings 1st up before putting in a bad performance last start but with some genuine excuses. Those two runs were in stronger grades so she should be able to bounce back to stronger form here.

(7) Silver Chaos ran into the placings in her last two starts; she has a good record at this track and an ideal race map.

(5) Mondello put in a bad performance last start but her form prior to that poor run was at a good level, she can bounce back.

(1) Nosie By Nature needs everything to go his way to see out a strong 1200m trip but does have form in stronger races earlier this prep so can surprise.

Selections:
(3) Kersee
(7) Silver Chaos
(5) Mondello
(1) Nosie By Nature

Suggested Bet – Kersee (Each-way)

Race 6

(5) Night Cruiser has won two of four runs so far this prep and is in good form, the way he won last prep only suggests he may have improvement again here rising slightly up in trip again.

(8) Lady Lupara looks likely to be suited rising in trip and also dropping down in grade, should be close to peaking in fitness.

(4) Rokabye Warrior looks the likely leader of the race and will be in a prominent position, could prove hard to catch if he can take full control of the race tempo.

(1) Think Tank is in consistent form this prep and can win at this level but the drop in distance is the small query on his chances.

Selections:
(5) Night Cruiser
(8) Lady Lupara
(4) Rokabye Warrior
(1) Think Tank

Suggested Bet – Another tough betting race over a staying trip.

Race 7

(5) Bolted In looks as if he will be suited dropping back down in trip to the 1200m and back down in grade, can improve enough to win.

(6) Gruelling gets a strong set up here 1st up. She has won previously when resuming as well as having a win here at this track previously. He maps well to the inside and will be in a strong position, but we may see his best form over more ground.

(2) Artful Tawny was solid when resuming and is going to be well suited back down in grade here today.

(4) Zarkana doesn’t have much form when 1st up but she looked good in a recent trial behind Aviatress. If the track is playing evenly, she should get her chance.

Selections:
(5) Bolted In
(6) Gruelling
(2) Artful Tawny
(4) Zarkana

Suggested Bet – No Bet, want to see an even playing track before betting