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Pakenham Friday Night: Mitch Lewis delivers his best bets for the meeting

Mitch Lewis previews Friday night at Pakenham with a number of best bets in the back half of the card.

Mitch Lewis by Mitch Lewis
May 1, 2026
in Tips, VIC Tips
Reading Time: 2 mins read
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Summary of Best Bets

Best Bet: Race 5 (5) Oyster Lane

Next Best: Race 7 (4) My Roca Fella

Value Bet: Race 9 (10) Espana

 

Turf Talk

  • Clear weather is forecast for race day, suggesting the meeting will be run on a Good 4 and remain at that rating through the evening.
  • The rail will be out +9m for the entire circuit.
  • With the rail out in recent meetings, there has been a slight advantage to settling in the first half of the field in run.
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Mbube Plunge
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Bookies’ fave
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Freedman Form
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JMac Rides

Key Stats

  • Julius Sandhu’s stable continues to be in strong recent form with 20 winners from his last 100 runners, returning a POT of +34%.
  • Jason Maskiell comes to this meeting for five rides and has been in super form with 15 winners from his last 100 rides, returning a POT of +56.5%.

Race 5

(5) Oyster Lane has had little luck in his last two runs and finds himself down in grade from those now, plus gets the ideal setup from a low barrier. He maps to get a positive run and should be able to take luck out of the equation today. (3) Hulkster resumes and also sets up well jumping from barrier 1, able to settle in a handy position and give himself every chance. (4) Overcast ran well on debut and hit the placings, and looks likely to appreciate the slight rise in distance. (6) Rowdy Express didn’t show a lot on debut but did his best work late and can improve second up.

Selections:
(5) Oyster Lane
(3) Hulkster
(4) Overcast
(6) Rowdy Express

Suggested Bet: (5) Oyster Lane (Win)

 

Race 7

(4) My Roca Fella looks well set up here. There is little speed in the race, which should allow him to push forward and land in a strong position. Now at peak fitness third up, he could prove tough to catch. (8) Just Jenni was a last start winner defeating some key rivals she meets again here and a repeat effort makes her hard to beat. (1) Lightening Mann makes his Australian debut off strong UK form, though likely to improve with fitness. (10) Sparkle Link has been moderate of late but finds this easier and can improve back to this level with a light weight.

Selections:
(4) My Roca Fella
(8) Just Jenni
(1) Lightening Mann
(10) Sparkle Link

Suggested Bet: (4) My Roca Fella (Win)

 

Race 9

(10) Espana was moderate when resuming but may have had genuine excuses, and is capable of sharp improvement dropping in grade. (5) Fearless Writer comes here third up after two solid runs this prep and maps well from barrier 1 to settle closer. (6) Olivia Rose resumes with a light weight and should land in a positive position. (11) Miss Kasei maps as the likely leader and if left alone could prove hard to run down.

Selections:
(10) Espana
(5) Fearless Writer
(6) Olivia Rose
(11) Miss Kasei

Suggested Bet: (10) Espana (Each Way)

Tags: Best betsEspanaFriday night racinghorse racing tips AustraliaMitch LewisMy Roca FellaOyster LanePakenham racingPakenham Tips
Mitch Lewis

Mitch Lewis

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