Best Bet: R5/1 A Diva
Next Best: R6/7 On The Prowl
Turf Talk
- Showers are forecast for race day on a track that is already rated a Soft 7, so expect a genuinely wet surface.
- The rail returns to the true position.
- Given the wet conditions, it is likely runners will look to come away from the inside lanes in the straight and it may give a slight advantage to on-speed types.
Key stats
- Reece Goodwin’s stable is flying and he brings two runners into this meeting. His team has had 19 winners from their previous 100 starters, returning a POT of +20.7%.
- Billy Egan is flying. He has ridden 23 winners from his last 100 rides with a POT return of +34.3%. His POT for this track alone is a strong +17.9%.
Race by race overview
Race 5
(1) A Diva drops in grade from her previous two runs and sets up to get the run of the race here out in front. The small field should suit her positive race pattern and she rates highly. If given the ability to control the race tempo she should prove hard to catch late.
(7) Jenny The Beaver handled a wet track well last start when running into second at Terang. She is fitter now and looks suited rising in distance.
(2) Jaykayann resumes. She is not a noted first-up performer but handles wet conditions, so may surprise here and will be hitting the line strongly.
(3) Callmeanicon rises in distance here now third-up into the prep and getting close to peak fitness. She can start to improve from here getting a suitable set-up.
Selections:
(1) A Diva
(7) Jenny The Beaver
(2) Jaykayann
(3) Callmeanicon
Suggested Bet: (1) A Diva Win
Race 7
(7) On The Prowl was an easy winner over this track and distance two starts back before heading to Mornington and tackling a stronger race. He had little luck there, so happy to forgive him and expect he can bounce back dropping down in grade and getting conditions he has won over recently.
(10) Belcony was well supported last start in a stronger race but had to settle for second. Dropping slightly in grade could see her improve and she handles the conditions.
(2) Brutalina has speed and can lead, which is expected to be the suited position to be in through the run.
(4) Glenfinnan drops in grade from his last start and this looks a better level for him. At peak fitness now third-up, he can be an improver on recent form.
Selections:
(7) On The Prowl
(10) Belcony
(2) Brutalina
(4) Glenfinnan
Suggested Bet: (7) On The Prowl Win
