Summary of Best Bets
Best Bet: Race 4 (1) Holder Maid
Next Best: Race 3 (2) Star Casino
Turf Talk
- Clear weather is forecast, so expect track conditions to remain even on the dirt track.
- The rail position will be true for the entire meeting.
- The track evened out as the meeting went on last time, but early it was an advantage to be on speed.
Stats that matter
- Garret Lynch generally performs strongly here at Pt Augusta, with a winning strike rate of 16.9% and a POT of +14.5% at the track.
- He has also returned a POT of +37.6% for punters from his last 100 starters overall.
- From a small sample size, Campbell Rawiller has shown he rides well here, with a winning strike rate of 29.4% and a POT of +25.6%.
Race by race overview
Race 3
(2) Star Casino appears to thrive up here at Pt Augusta, having won three of his four starts here, including an easy win last time out. This race sets up very similarly in the same grade and, in a small field, there is a lack of speed which should see him take control from the front again. (4) Hard Leaf drops in grade and likely finds this easier than his last two starts, although this is his first look at the dirt. (3) Explicable has run third in his last three starts and will need to improve on what he produced here two runs back, but the draw helps. (1) The Last Dance was well beaten last start here but is better suited back in distance and can improve.
Selections:
(2) Star Casino
(4) Hard Leaf
(3) Explicable
(1) The Last Dance
Suggested Bet: (2) Star Casino WIN
Race 4
(1) Holder Maid is in flying form, having won two of her past three starts, including an impressive win here last time. She remains in the same grade and gets a very similar set-up, so from a favourable barrier she should land in the ideal position and looks the one to beat. (4) Footprints has been competing in stronger races and now drops sharply in grade, which should see improvement. (3) Sea Roads ran second to the favourite last time and should be competitive again in a similar race shape, although he needs to bridge the gap. With limited early speed engaged, (7) Shinohara may find the lead and give a sight at odds.
Selections:
(1) Holder Maid
(4) Footprints
(3) Sea Roads
(7) Shinohara
Suggested Bet: (1) Holder Maid WIN
