Best Bet: R6/7 Shikanic
Next Best: R5/2 Ti Tree Royal
Turf talk
- Clear weather forecast, so expect the track conditions to remain even on the dirt track.
- The rail position will be true for the entire meeting.
- The track evened out as the meeting went on last time, but early it was an advantage to be on speed.
Key stats
- Garret Lynch is one of the most in-form trainers in the state and does a good job preparing runners to perform strongly on this dirt track. At Pt Augusta, he boasts a winning strike rate of 17% with a POT return of +14.6%.
- Tala Hutchinson has been booked for a full card and is an apprentice who has been good to follow for punters, with 20 winners from her last 100 rides returning a POT of +40%.
Race by race overview
Race 5
(2) Ti Tree Royal made his debut at this track last start and looked to absolutely relish the conditions when putting in a huge win by 7L. We have seen this before with Garret Lynch runners, that when they get to this track they can explode up the ratings, and in a similar race with a similar shape it is hard to look past him.
(9) Star Decorum has a super record at this track and maps well with a low weight. He can put a solid pace into this race yet be strong late.
(4) Belle Inferno was a long way behind Ti Tree Royal last start, so needs to find some improvement quickly, but with a low barrier he potentially settles closer today and is better suited at this distance.
(7) Fox Dunnett drops the slightest bit in grade today, which can suit, and he looks set up to be running on late with a fast early tempo expected.
Selections:
(2) Ti Tree Royal
(9) Star Decorum
(4) Belle Inferno
(7) Fox Dunnett
Suggested Bet: (2) Ti Tree Royal Win
Race 6
(7) Shikanic was an easy winner here last start and has a super record when running around this track and trip set up, with a record of 9:4-3-1. He goes well here, maps to land on the speed quickly from a low barrier and has a strong jockey. He should be hard to beat again.
(1) Over Yonder rates highly in this field dropping in grade, but this is his first time on this track and he has an awkward barrier to deal with. His best form would be good enough to win here, but he could be a risk in this set up if he does not handle it.
(6) Golden Tunes was a big winner two starts ago before tackling a stronger race last time, but was outclassed there. He is suited down in level and has good speed, so should race handy.
(5) Bjaerne proved last start that he appreciates this dirt track and could push forward again here and get every chance.
Selections:
(7) Shikanic
(1) Over Yonder
(6) Golden Tunes
(5) Bjaerne
Suggested Bet: (7) Shikanic Win
