Randwick Guineas Day gave punters plenty to work with, producing a meeting full of strong ratings, hard-luck stories and key autumn clues across both the two-year-old and three-year-old features. Several runners either stamped themselves as genuine carnival players or, just as importantly, exposed where they now sit in the pecking order as the big races draw closer.
Dean Watling has gone back through the meeting with his weekly Buy, Hold, Sell assessment, separating the runners ready to follow with confidence from those still worth keeping safe, and those whose profiles are becoming harder to trust. A dominant Randwick Guineas winner headlines the positives, while a pair of juveniles now face serious question marks after failing to deliver when conditions looked to suit.
Buy
Sheza Alibi
Wow, probably the only word to describe her win in the Randwick Guineas. She copped a plain ride, to be polite, before absolutely destroying her rivals in the straight. Gaps galore in behind and the smarts were onto it, with her firming from $2.40 into $1.90 late in betting. It has rated as one of, if not the strongest overall figures out of a Randwick Guineas in history.
Beiwacht
It was a pleasure to see this galloper finally back out in trip and finally back around a turn. Thankfully the 1000m to 1200m experiment looks to be over. Potentially he was the only horse who could have beaten Sheza Alibi over the 1600m. It was a solid on-speed effort and while he does not have a sharp turn of foot, he sustains his speed strongly. Keen to see him over 1400m to 1600m.
Inkaruna
Should have won the Fireball. Luckless when held up on the fence, through no fault of Zac at all, there was simply no room. Got out late and flashed to the line to get within 0.11L of Beadman. A coming winner no doubt.
Chayan
Should be Golden Slipper favourite. Sat on a good tempo and blew her rivals away with a blistering final 200m. Rock hard fit and fourth-up into a Golden Slipper reads well. She will likely lose James McDonald though.
Chayan comes away impressively in the Reisling Stakes! The Victorian form again to the fore in the 2YO ranks 👀@mcacajamez @archibaldracing pic.twitter.com/zZ6l4ihcsQ
— 7HorseRacing 🐎 (@7horseracing) March 7, 2026
Hold
Idle Flyer
First up over 1200m off a setback last start, I thought she was a pass mark. She did not get the tempo she wanted to sprint sharply and was caught flat-footed. Out in trip and a faster tempo will definitely help her chances. Stick with her.
Attica
Ridden much more positively here in the Randwick Guineas but looked a touch flat as he struggled to quicken, maybe ridden too close. I would suggest he is looking for all of 2000m at his next start. The stable have said the 1600m Doncaster is the target. If that is the case he goes in the Sell file. If it is over 2000m in the Rosehill Guineas, that would make more sense.
Sell
Hidrix
They threw the kitchen sink at him on Saturday, James aboard and the blinkers on, and he just did not fire. He might need the ultimate gear change or a spell. He is in the Slipper but will not carry my money.
“Sydney has some hope in the Slipper!” 😂
Paradoxium makes a statement in the Todman Stakes! Can he win the big one in two weeks 🤔@bbakerracing pic.twitter.com/oStTlPwOwe
— 7HorseRacing 🐎 (@7horseracing) March 7, 2026
Incognito
Similar story to Hidrix. He needs to be ridden off speed, the blinkers went on and he was no match. Best hope for him is a savage tempo up front and being ridden cold.
