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Mitch Lewis’ Sale Tips: Preview and best bets for Sunday’s meeting

Mitch Lewis breaks down the Sale card with his best bets, key stats and race-by-race analysis for Sunday’s meeting.

Mitch Lewis by Mitch Lewis
May 3, 2026
in Tips, VIC Tips
Reading Time: 2 mins read
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Summary of Best Bets
Best Bet: Race 8 (7) Saluted
Next Best: Race 5 (3) Count Of Toulouse

 

Turf Talk

  • Expect the track to be presented as a Soft 5, but showers are forecast and there is potential for a downgrade at some stage through the day.
  • The rail returns to the True position for the first time since late March.
  • At the most recent meeting under similar conditions, the track played fairly and runners won from a variety of positions.
  • Expect the inside lanes in the straight to be inferior if wet conditions arrive.

 

Key stats

  • Patrick Payne’s stable is operating at a 22% winning strike rate across all tracks. At Sale, he has an excellent record with a 28.7% strike rate and a POT of +22.5%.
  • Jason Maskiell has been profitable for punters recently, riding 14 winners from his last 100 rides and returning a POT of +49.9%.

 

Race by race overview

Race 5
There doesn’t appear to be a great deal of speed in this race, which potentially gives (3) Count Of Toulouse an opportunity to push up from barrier 1 and settle near the front in running. He was slightly unlucky last start but hit the line strongly to run a close third. This race looks no harder and he gets a better set-up.

(2) Bit Of Shoosh was an easy winner last start in a lower grade and steps back up in level today, but looks suited at this distance having hit the line strongly last start. (8) Hotinhere looks ready for the rise in distance third-up into the prep, and expect her to be strong late. (5) Grand Sage ran well to win a similar race to this last start and is capable of a repeat performance, but the wide barrier makes it tougher.

Selections:
(3) Count Of Toulouse
(2) Bit Of Shoosh
(8) Hotinhere
(5) Grand Sage

Suggested Bet: (3) Count Of Toulouse win

Race 8
(7) Saluted resumes. She was a winner first-up last prep before contesting stronger races, and this looks a good kick-off race for her. She had a wide barrier, but with scratchings she comes into a much better spot now and sets up well.

(4) Cabriole was a big winner as a short-priced favourite in maiden grade and now looks to take a step up in level. He sets up well with a favourable map here in a race that has most of the speed coming from out wide, and he gets the softer run jumping from barrier 3. (6) Normandy Lass drops in grade for this and that can help her find improvement on her last-start run. (2) Riproar is similar in that he is dropping in grade, which should help him improve. He will be hitting the line strongly over this shorter trip.

Selections:
(7) Saluted
(4) Cabriole
(6) Normandy Lass
(2) Riproar

Suggested Bet: (7) Saluted win

Tags: best bets todayhorse racing tips AustraliaMitch Lewis tipsracing preview australiaSale racingSale Sunday tipsSale tipsVictorian Racing
Mitch Lewis

Mitch Lewis

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