Summary of best bets:
Suggested bet: Race 4 No.8 Headbanger (Well supported 1st up but had excuses, can bounce back fitter now)
Value bet: Race 5 No.1 Rewards and More (Rates highly, has a good 1st up record and record at this trip)
Best bet: Race 8 No.1 Leg Drive (In strong form, race map sets up well in these conditions)
Turf talk:
- The track looks likely to be a Good 4 rating for the entirety of the meeting
- The rail to be placed out in the +6m metre position
- Advantage usually sits with runners who settle in the front half of the field in running here and expect that to be the case today with this rail set up.
Key stats:
- Ryan Houston has been riding well and winning at good value. Here at Cranbourne he has recently had a strong record with a winning strike rate of 21.4% at a POT of +97%
Race 4
HEADBANGER was well supported when resuming but disappointed in that run. Some gear changes here today suggest there was some genuine excuses in that last run so expecting he can bounce back to the form that was expected of him last time out
(8) Headbanger
(7) Gwen’s Girl
(9) Pacific Chill
(6) Angelotti
Suggested Bet – (8) Headbanger (Win)
Race 5
Key scratchings have left good value in this market. Siding with the resuming REWARDS AND MORE who was winning at a similar level at the end of his last prep. Dry track conditions should suit here and he has a good record over the 1000m trip. Maps well to the inside and has won 1st up previously, can certainly go close.
(1) Rewards And More
(2) Pano’s Pride
(5) Midnight Charm
(7) The Showvinist
Suggested Bet – (1) Rewards And More (Each Way)
Race 8
LEG DRIVE has found good form with a win two starts back and a close 2nd last time out. He looks to get ideal track conditions here today with a drying track and given the moderate tempo expected in the race, it could set him up well to be hard to reel in at the late stages of the race.
(1) Leg Drive
(6) Art ‘N’ Soul
(4) Cash Converter
(8) Left Hook
Suggested Bet – (1) Leg Drive (Win)
