Summary of Best Bets
Race | Horse | Summary |
---|---|---|
1 | Some Style | Racing consistently and rolls forward. BEST BET |
3 | Kurithea | Has plenty of upside. NEXT BEST |
4 | Simply Amazing | In form having won three of past four. NEXT BEST |
Turf Talk:
- Rail 10m+ the entire and I feel that has to play to the front.
- May be near impossible to make ground late here.
The stats that matter:
- Matt Hoysted has landed 5 winners from the last 12 runners he has saddled up. Only the one runner here though – Araletta in race 5.
- Emily Lang has hit the ground running this season. 11 winners from 58 rides and a ROI of 16.2% (flat stake)
Race 1
(5) Some Style is a consistent horse for Gollan but still a maiden after 8 runs. Was run down at an odds-on quote last start but the effort was very good and a gap to the 3rd horse. Placed perfectly here and rolls forward. The rest are plain. (10) Kickuphigh raced against better horses last prep but was well beaten. Might come back a better horse and find this easier. (1) Chicago King was a drifter and just ok last start. Fitter now and finds a weak enough race.
(5) Some Style
(10) Kickuphigh
(1) Chicago King
(8) Silver Spoon
Suggested Bet: Win (5) Some Style if close to even money.
Race 2
Not sure what to make of (2) Atomic Time. Was odds-on in both runs last prep and they were better races than this. Recent trial he got a long way back and was ok late. Watch the market. (3) Find Me was just ok in his first prep also. Sat outside the lead in the trial and ran away from them. Off that trial he is going to be hard to beat. I reckon this (4) Headstrong is a decent horse. First prep was good enough, but both trials this time have been very good. One he led and pricked the ears, the next he settled last and was best late. (9) Ready For Zion has the race fitness on its side. Not far off a couple of handy ones last start and draws the inside gate.
(4) Headstrong
(2) Atomic Time
(3) Find Me
(9) Ready For Zion
Suggested Bet: No bet
Race 3
If Some Style wins the earlier race it might talk us into (9) Parisienne Piper. It was good fresh and then no luck at all last start. Wide the trip, made a run at them but had to tire late. Draws well. (11) Kurithea is lightly raced and I’m sure will win races. Good over this track/trip last start and Moor takes the ride. (10) Perhaps Perhaps wasn’t far off in the same race last start and gets blinkers back on here. Market might be the best guide on the rest of them.
(11) Kurithea
(9) Parisienne Piper
(10) Perhaps Perhaps
(6) Evelyn May
Suggested Bet: Win (11) Kurithea who has the upside.
Race 4
(8) Simply Amazing has been very good all prep. Has won 3 of 5 this time in work and is tactically versatile. Recent form makes her the one to beat here. (6) Valimi is a weak animal late but does map up on speed and in a good stable. This is easier than the rest of the prep so far. (7) Warna comes out of easier races but was a winner fresh and does have upside. (2) Prado, (3) Ready Azz Eva and (4) Rashford all have ability but poor win strike rates.
(8) Simply Amazing
(7) Warna
(4) Rashford
(6) Valimi
Suggested Bet: Win (8) Simply Amazing.
Race 5
This is a nightmare. (10) Anarita is consistent without being great. Trial at Doomben was good, first up last prep was good and draws inside. (9) Detain got a perfect ride and got the job done at this track. Mallyon stays on and probably gets the box seat again. (11) She’s Fashionable beat a plain bunch here last start but I loved the style of win. Strong through the line, in a good stable and can win. (12) I’m Zac has had the best L200m splits his last couple but worried he gets too far back. Hoysted back in form and (7) Araletta far from the worst.
(11) She’s Fashionable
(10) Anarita
(9) Detain
(12) I’m Zac
Suggested Bet: No bet
Race 6
(5) She’s Fashionable beat a plain bunch here last start but I loved the style of win. Strong through the line, in a good stable and can win. (1) Grammar Lad is a bit one paced but kept coming last time out. Not beaten far in that CL1 at Doomben and this no harder. (2) Chamierro was ok fresh, better 2nd up and set to peak here. Just where it gets to from the gate is a query. (3) Breezin’ has been attacking the line late recently. Likely to land midfield and get every chance. (9) Techna was plain to finish last prep but might have had enough. Just feel she has some ability and could surprise a few with luck in running.
(5) She’s Fashionable
(1) Grammar Lad
(2) Chamierro
(3) Breezin’
Suggested Bet: No bet
Race 7
(5) Seneschal was good two preps ago but not so good last time in. First up run was a blanket finish and hard to take much from. Gear changes and should be fitter now. (10) Freeland is never far away and has been good late in races recently. Tactically versatile and might be well placed here. (11) Profoundly is a genuine Saturday grade horse. Well held last start but in a good race behind a better horse than these. Blinkers go on and no weight on the back. (1) Russian Sub would win on old form but hard to trust these days.
(11) Profoundly
(10) Freeland
(5) Seneschal
(1) Russian Sub
Suggested Bet: No bet