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Betsy’s Set: Morphettville

Mitch Lewis has been seeing them like beach balls in South Australia. Get his best bets and strategy for Morphettville on Saturday.

Mitch Lewis by Mitch Lewis
September 20, 2025
in News, SA Tips, Tips
Reading Time: 8 mins read
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Summary of Best Bets

Type R # Horse Note
Bet 1 2 NAVAL ACADEMY Missed by a head last start, stays in the same grade.
Best Value (EW) 3 12 OUI OUI MA CHERIE Talented filly with a quick finish in her.
Best Bet 8 6 NASHO Led all the way last start, similar set-up here.
Next Best 9 6 STREETCAR FURY Fitter second-up, softer map should see improvement.

Track

  • Expecting a Good 4 on raceday given only a small amount of rain is forecast in Adelaide in the lead-up.
  • The rail pushes out from the previous meeting to +5m entire.
  • Edge to runners settling forward of midfield. Inside lanes in the straight likely superior if the track is dry.

Stats

  • Shane & Cassie Oxlade bring two runners and both are well found. Stable has 8 winners from the last 50 runners for a POT of +22.7%.
  • Apprentices Caitlin Tootell and Brooke King are in form, making good use of their claims with winners at big odds. Tootell: 16 wins from last 100 rides, +55.1% POT. King: 11 wins from last 100 rides, +26.2% POT.

Race 1

(2) NAVAL ACADEMY ran a close second in a very similar race last start, losing by only the bob of a head. On paper he meets a slightly lower-rated field than two weeks ago, so he gets every chance again. Although drawn widest, he maps to track key speed influence (6) HOT STRUT into the race, so he should have every opportunity to win. (4) UNDER AND OVER is on the quick back-up after being well supported last week, the extra fitness he has now is his advantage. (6) HOT STRUT looks the likely leader and could pinch it if the track shows a leader’s bias. (5) CLARENCE was a good winner 2 starts ago but came out last start and missed the kick so never got a proper crack at them late, could bounce back here.

Selections:

(2) Naval Academy
(4) Under And Over
(6) Hot Strut
(5) Clarence

Suggested Bet – Naval Academy (Win)

Race 2

This race has flipped on its head now with the 2 key runners in the race coming out and scratched. It leaves a pretty open market here. Not surprised to see (6) NEXTONIXS look likely to start as the race favourite here given her soft race map, she impressed with a win two back before placing in a midweek Sandown race. She has good early speed, draws softly, and a leaders’ track would suit. (3) LEFT TURN CLYDE rises in grade but reeled off the fastest L600 and L400 of the meeting when winning last start. With even conditions he can repeat.  (8) STAR RAPPER may be better on a dry track after coming off heavy going. He can race on speed and be prominent. (4) GINGER SINNER won a similar race to this before going out for a spell. Perhaps has improvement with more fitness to come but wouldn’t surprise.

Selections:

(6) Nextonixs
(3) Left Turn Clyde
(8) Star Rapper
(4) Ginger Sinner

Suggested Bet – No bet. Could be anyone’s race after the big scratching’s. 

Race 3

(12) OUI OUI MA CHERIE produced a solid resuming run in early August in a maiden that has since thrown winners. She showed talent early in her career and, with a light weight today, she should hit the line strongly and looks good value. (10) SENSATIONAL SECRET debuts for a new stable. Lightly raced, she has placed in 4 starts and maps for a prominent run. (7) THE COSMIC ONE was well found on debut and placed despite covering ground. Maps better here and can improve. (5) POWER OF TIME comes out of a maiden that has had good subsequent form come out of it, he draws a much better barrier here today than what he has had in both runs so far into his career so could be an improver.

Selections:

(12) Oui Oui Ma Cherie
(10) Sensational Secret
(7) The Cosmic One
(5) Power Of Time

Suggested Bet – Oui Oui Ma Cherie (Each-way)

Race 4

(5) BURNING BRIGHT brings strong recent staying form through RABTAT, who has kept stepping up. She finally broke through last start after a pair of seconds behind that horse. With a soft map and a light weight after the claim, she should take catching. (1) EXALTED FIRE rates well and is consistent in these staying races. He has a big weight and a wide gate to manage but can’t be discounted. (2) CONCORDE looks well suited rising to 1950m after hitting the line strongly last start. (8) KING OF WESSEX wouldn’t shock at odds. He can be hard to catch but maps softly with a light weight.

Selections:

(5) Burning Bright
(1) Exalted Fire
(2) Concorde
(8) King Of Wessex

Suggested Bet – No bet. Burning Bright has the right form and set-up but is short enough

Race 5

(5) ROUND TWO has found strong form of late rising through his grades, he broke through at Gawler two back and then winning by 3.3L at a similar level last start. The manner in which he won last start suggests he could continue to rise through the grades. (1) STOKOMO was runner-up to (5) ROUND TWO last time, was well supported, and may not have had the clearest run. Can improve. (9) ZUNNA was well backed first-up but missed the kick, making it tough. Sharp improver. If the track is favouring on speed types, (3) SPEEDTAIL looks the runner that maps to get run of the race here, up on speed and drawn in a low barrier.

Selections:

(5) Round Two
(1) Stokomo
(9) Zunna
(3) Speedtail

Suggested Bet – No bet. Low confidence betting into this race with so many queries around the race map and how the track is playing

Race 6

Low-confidence race with mixed form lines. (5) SILENT EMMY likely starts favourite. She was in strong form prior to her last start when she over-raced and faded late. Forgive that and expect a return to better form. (10) SPEC RAIDER has been strong through the line and looks suited up to 2250m. (6) WHATSANAMEGEORGE usually needs a couple of runs and performs better over staying trips. He reaches the right point of the prep and trip to improve. (3) EIGHT ON THE DOT is a consistent stayer who wouldn’t shock in this grade.

Selections:

(5) Silent Emmy
(10) Spec Raider
(6) Whatsanamegeorge
(3) Eight On The Dot

Suggested Bet – Low confidence

Race 7

(4) WINE BARRON hasn’t had much luck of late but still finds the line, including a last-start second in a race that has rated well since. He maps well from barrier 4 and should settle in a good spot if he handles the weight. (1) MORRIS MINOR gets in well at the weights with the claim. He made good late ground behind runaway winner NASHO last start, so the rise in trip suits. (5) TIPSY VIXEN can run a cheeky race at odds. She generally improves deeper into preps, is third-up now, and gets in lighter than key rivals. (11) BAD DETECTIVE got caught up in a speed battle last start and faded out of the race late, there maps to be less speed in this race today which should give him a softer time of it out in front which may help.

Selections:

(4) Wine Barron
(1) Morris Minor
(5) Tipsy Vixen
(11) Bad Detective

Suggested Bet – No bet. Low confidence given maps and weights

Race 8

(6) NASHO was ideally placed last start in a very similar race. He had it soft in front as the only standout speed influence, controlled the tempo, and was impossible to catch under a light weight. He rises slightly in weight today but again maps to control tempo at a similar level, so he should prove hard to catch. (2) CARTOON GRAVEYARD was in the chasing pack behind NASHO last start, so meets him better at the weights today and does have a good record 3rd up. (5) BRAVE STAR rates well at this level and can race close to the speed. His best is often on wetter tracks, so conditions are key. (1) LOUNGE BAR RUBI debuts for a new stable and may improve with a run, but he kicks off in easier company than he met last prep, which suits.

Selections:

(6) Nasho
(2) Cartoon Graveyard
(5) Brave Star
(1) Lounge Bar Rubi

Suggested Bet – Nasho (Win)

Race 9

(6) STREETCAR FURY was well supported first-up but peaked late as fitness just gave out. Fitter second-up suits, and he gains key map advantages from a lower barrier. (7) MADAM JEANETTE was the winner Streetcar Fury couldn’t reel in last start and again has a strong chance, but she may not get the same favours from a wide draw. (4) KALASEC typically needs a run or two to find best. Third-up and fitter helps, though he may need luck from his barrier. (12) LITTLEBOURKESTREET can be well set dropping slightly in grade, but she maps back and needs an even track to figure.

Selections:

(6) Streetcar Fury
(7) Madam Jeanette
(4) Kalasec
(12) Littlebourkestreet

Suggested Bet – Streetcar Fury (Win)

 

Tags: Best betsMorphettville
Mitch Lewis

Mitch Lewis

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