| Race | Horse | Summary |
|---|---|---|
| R4 | Pretentious Lass (Value) | Better suited down in grade today and on a wet track |
| R5 | Magic Field (Best) | A very close 2nd last start, goes well at this track |
| R6 | Dubai Dancer | Well suited in the expected conditions set up |
Track
- Rail position pushes out from the previous meetings and will be +4m 1600m-900m, +5m 900m-400m, True Remainder. The rail isn’t often out this far here.
- The track was rated a heavy early in the week and showers are forecast for race day so an upgrade looks unlikely.
- The track generally plays fairly with winners coming from a variety of positions in run, runners will likely avoid the inside lanes in the straight.
Stats
- Maddie Raymond & Patrick Bell have been in strong form of late, they have had 11 winners in 72 starts at 15.3% since creating a partnership. Those 11 wins have come at a POT of +81.8%
- Murray Bridge trainer Justin Pickering likes to travel his horses to this track; he has a strike rate of 23.5% returning a POT of +126.7% here at Mount Gambier
Race 1
(8) Shaykhlislamova recently resumed, running in for 2nd here at this track. This race sets up similar for her again from a low barrier and a drop back to 1200m looks suitable. (10) Piklemegranmother ran on well at a recent debut to run into 2nd at a big price. She looks suited rising in trip on her home track. (7) Sethacchio comes out of the same last start race as (10) Piklemegranmother. (7) Sethacchio was well supported but endured a wide run from a wider barrier, he can improve with a softer map today. (5) Forever Jeune has run into some handy types in her last two starts, this looks an easier field she is competing against, so she may be better suited.
Selections:
(8) Shaykhlislamova
(10) Piklemegranmother
(7) Sethacchio
(5) Forever Jeune
Betting suggestion: No bet, tough to have confidence betting into a race with these mixed form lines
Race 2
The runners who look to have the stronger form lines coming into this race are the Victorian visitor (12) So Regal. (12) So Regal hit the line strongly last start at Hamilton so rising in trip here today looks ideal and sets him up. (11) Oldpop looks the runner who will get run of the race, he can race up on speed and is drawn softly, can control the race tempo and be hard to catch if so. (1) Dodgy Element needs to find improvement on what he produced last start, but this looks an easier race on paper so he may be better suited here. (2) Parkrun makes his debut for a new stable, his NSW form lines potentially look stronger on paper than what he faces here but is untested in heavy conditions which is the query.
Selections:
(12) So Regal
(11) Oldpop
(1) Dodgy Element
(2) Parkrun
Betting suggestion: No bet, similar to the previous race, not confident enough in the recent form of these to be betting.
Race 3
(2) Jungle Jet resumes for a new stable here today, he is down in grade from what his most recent races have been and he maps softly up in front, fitness may test him fresh but he rates well. (6) Spec Raider is a last start winner and can also race up on speed and be prominent in the run, she is suited over these staying trips so expect she can go close again. (1) Kodiak Bear is 2nd up today off a long spell, expecting he can improve enough to win here and he rates highly in this grade. (3) Idon’tgetit gets in lighter at the weights than some key rivals and will appreciate a wet track.
Selections:
(2) Jungle Jet
(6) Spec Raider
(1) Kodiak Bear
(3) Idon’tgetit
Betting suggestion: No bet, looks a very competitive staying race so staying out
Race 4
(7) Pretentious Lass was a winner first up before she took a step up in grade contesting a stronger race at Morphettville last time. She ran on well enough in that race, but looks much better suited down in this grade and back onto a wet track. (2) Ti Tree Lad drops down slightly in grade which will suit, the inside barrier gives him a chance to find a soft run. (1) Red Dates resumes off the back of some handy recent trials, she is suited in this grade but may not appreciate a wet track which is the small query, she may be one to follow from this meeting. (3) Captain Joolian resumes here, he has performed well 1st up in preps previously and also has a good record at this track
Selections:
(7) Pretentious Lass
(2) Ti Tree Las
(1) Red Dates
(3) Captain Joolian
Betting suggestion: Pretentious Lass (EW)
Race 5
(1) Magic Field was well supported last start but got caught in the last stride of the race to finish a close 2nd. He enjoys this track/distance set up (5:1-2-2) and again gets well in with an apprentice claim so looks well set up to go one better. (5) Nankeen finished less than 1L behind (1) Magic Field in their previous start so expect he can be the main danger here again. (2) Warui resumes today, she isn’t a noted 1st up performer usually, but this is slightly down in grade which will suit, just needs luck from the wide barrier. (10) Big Shaq needs to find some level of improvement from his last few starts, but thrives on a heavy track so may be best suited if the track remains very wet.
Selections:
(1) Magic Field
(5) Nankeen
(2) Warui
(10) Big Shaq
Betting suggestion: Magic Field (Win)
Race 6
Loved the last start win of (4) Dubai Dancer at Hamilton, she put her rivals away convincingly and looks well suited in these conditions here today. She goes well on a wet track, draws to get a softer run than last time from a good barrier and apprentice Jade Smith retains the ride after the last start win, she can prove hard to catch. (6) Big Sue drops in grade from her last few starts at metro grade in Adelaide. She is well down in level here but the 1400m might be the small query if any. (1) Come Along Jeffrey is another dropping down in grade as well. He maps well to the inside and gets an improved set up on recent runs. (3) Miso has placed in his last 3 starts and is finding form, rising up to the 1400m today after his last start will suit.
Selections:
(4) Dubai Dancer
(6) Big Sue
(1) Come Along Jeffrey
(3) Miso
Betting suggestion: Dubai Dancer (Win)
Race 7
(3) Miss Remski looks better suited here today than her last start dropping back down in grade. She has won at this track previously and should get a softer run than last start from an inside barrier. (1) Mr George was at big odds last start when winning to breakthrough for his maiden victory. He ran away with the race late, running strongly through the line, so may have good confidence rising in trip slightly today. (5) They Call Me Dusty can mix his form but generally leaves his best for his home track here, his last few runs have been on heavy tracks so he could improve on better going. Local runner (8) Last Dream is a last start winner here, she will be ideally suited if the track is choppy by this last race of the day and rising in trip slightly will suit if she can perform up to last time.
Selections:
(3) Miss Remski
(1) Mr George
(5) They Call Me Dusty
(8) Last Dream
Betting suggestion: No bet, competitive finish so would be looking wide in a Quaddie
