Summary of Best Bets:
Race 2 – Backing No.11 Carpe Astra
Race 3 – Backing No.7 Sungazer (BEST)
Race 7 – Backing No.12 Briseis Eclipse
Turf Talk:
- With warm conditions in the week leading up to this meeting, we are expecting a Good 4 rated track for the meeting.
- The rail moves out from the True position it was last meeting and will be +12m 900m–W/Post, +10m remainder including the 1200m chute.
- Murray Bridge is a big track that generally plays fairly despite the rail being far out, generally the advantage is to find cover in the run.
Key stats:
- Shane & Cassie Oxlade bring two runners to this meeting and have produced 14 winners in their last 100 runners with a POT return of +31.3%. They have a positive POT at this track individually with +21.3%.
- Campbell Rawiller loves riding at Murray Bridge with 11 winners from 61 rides at a POT of +65.6%. He has 4 rides here today.
Race by race overview
Race 1:
(10) Oui Oui Ma Cherie has been a runner that has consistently performed well in stronger level Maidens but is still looking for a breakthrough win, she ran well at a big price last start and may find this easier at peak fitness 3rd up.
(6) Fearless Monarch comes into this race with moderate form but her best performances last prep rate high enough to be a winning chance here, it looks a race with a moderate tempo so she should find a good position in run.
(5) Kappa Crucis showed improvement last start and gets a softer race map for this today, he can again improve in suitable conditions.
(11) Stoops looks suited rising in distance, he is drawn wide but if the tempo is moderate, he can cross early.
Selections:
(10) Oui Oui Ma Cherie
(6) Fearless Monarch
(5) Kappa Crucis
(11) Stoops
Suggested Bet: Oui Oui Ma Cherie should prove hard to beat but will have to take a short enough price for a horse who can mix form
Race 2:
(11) Carpe Astra has been well supported in two career runs to date and has race fitness on his side, this looks an easier Maiden for him, and he maps to be in a positive position over this sprint trip, looks the one to catch.
(10) Miss Slipstream resumes from a lengthy break but was well supported in races last time in work that have produced good form lines. No official trials is the risk with her, but the talent she displayed last prep should have her be competitive in this.
(9) Miss Boom makes her debut for a new stable today; she has race experience in stronger Victorian Maidens which is form that may transfer well here.
Selections:
(11) Carpe Astra
(10) Miss Slipstream
(9) Miss Boom
Suggested Bet: (11) Carpe Astra (Win)
Race 3:
(7) Sungazer comes across from Victoria looking for a suitable race and given how he performed last start off a tough run, this looks a winnable set up for him rising to the 2000m trip for the first time.
(6) Impending Fury ran within 1L to the winners for a handy 4th in his last start, he looks the key speed influence of the race and will likely take up a forward position in the run.
(1) Arlo’s Dream put in an average effort at Oakbank last start, perhaps he didn’t appreciate that track as his form prior was much better, he should be better suited here today rising back up in distance.
(9) Clarapatra looks a type who needs to be covering more ground and gets that chance here today having her first look at the 2000m which should suit.
Selections:
(7) Sungazer
(6) Impending Fury
(1) Arlo’s Dream
(9) Clarapatra
Suggested Bet: (7) Sungazer (Win)
Race 4:
(3) Classy Claret was a winner over this track/distance to win his maiden two starts ago, on paper it looks likely there will be a quick tempo which could set him up to run over the top late.
(1) Thinkingnintynine looks likely to be one of the early leaders and will be suited back to the 2000m distance in this grade.
(2) Bocheeva finally got a winning breakthrough last time out and can maybe go on with that now with confidence and is suited with a favourable race map.
(6) Lady Lupara has won over this track/distance previously and will be suited jumping from barrier 1, gets a soft run in this with the expected early speed.
Selections:
(3) Classy Claret
(1) Thinkingnintynine
(2) Bocheeva
(6) Lady Lupara
Suggested Bet: No bet, lots of mixing form lowers interest
Race 5:
(7) Exalted Kate gave nothing else a chance when winning by a good margin at Penola last start in a race that rates similar to this today. In form Campbell Rawiller sticks in the saddle, and she remains at a similar weight. If she can hold her form she should again prove hard to beat.
(2) Tripod Terror is dropping in grade, which will suit, and now rising in distance to the 1400m should suit given he was hitting the line strongly over the 1200m last time.
(10) Night Cruiser is a last start winner who is now rising in grade off the back of that. The race may have a moderate speed so he can potentially get the run of the race here from a good barrier.
(8) Ambello never appeared to get going when dropping in grade last start, he remains down in level but up to the 1400m today which should bring improvement.
Selections:
(7) Exalted Kate
(2) Tripod Terror
(10) Night Cruiser
(8) Ambello
Suggested Bet: No bet. No speed in the race could make it a tough watch
Race 6:
(7) Magic Princess has been consistent recently including a good win at Oakbank last time out. She maps favourably from a low barrier and can race in a prominent position, sticking to the 1400m trip should suit as well.
(2) Duo Perna resumes today, he is a winner over the 1400m and has a good record first-up so off the back of two solid trials he can perform well in this fresh.
(9) Joviale put in a poor performance last time out but going back to his form prior, it was much stronger. He may be better suited back to the 1400m today and can be hitting the line hard but will likely be coming from the back of the field.
(3) Elliotto looks a likely improver on his last start effort dropping back in grade and getting back to a track he has had success at in the past.
Selections:
(7) Magic Princess
(2) Duo Perna
(9) Joviale
(3) Elliotto
Suggested Bet: No bet, little appeal in this tricky race
Race 7:
(12) Briseis Eclipse drops in grade from her previous few starts and is suited back at this level. She has a consistent record over this distance and this race at the lower level sets up well for her.
(10) Copper Bullet resumes today and was a winner 1st up into his last prep, he is proven fresh and looked solid in a recent trial here.
(5) Threatening kicked off his SA career in strong form before two disappointing runs when up in grade. He has had a freshen up since and dropping back down in level should bring on improvement.
(1) Shisuta Bo looks the class runner of the field, her recent form was strong before pulling up lame last start, she has a big weight here but if she handles that she can bounce back to winning form.
Selections:
(12) Briseis Eclipse
(10) Copper Bullet
(5) Threatening
(1) Shisuta Bo
Suggested Bet: (12) Briseis Eclipse (Win)
Race 8:
(5) Eclair Vitality ran 2nd when resuming here at this track and gets every chance to improve today now 2nd up and rising to a distance where he has a strong record (3:2-0-0).
(9) Smashing Action was a strong winner at Gawler last time out and maps to get run of the race today from a low barrier and with a light weight, the drop back to the 1000m trip should prove no issues if he is out in front.
(12) Aztec Dancer hit the line strongly last start so a rise to the 1000m trip should suit her as she looks likely to be back in the run from a wide barrier.
(1) In Love has good early speed and should be able to get a better run in the early stages of the race than what he got last start from the wide barrier, has the scope to improve with a softer run early.
Selections:
(5) Eclair Vitality
(9) Smashing Action
(12) Aztec Dancer
(1) In Love
Suggested Bet: No bet. Plenty of speed on here makes it tough to map out, would want to see track patterns through the day before betting.
