Betsy’s Set: Rosehill

Race 1

Smart handicap to kick off proceedings here. No real speed to speak of up front, which points me firmly in the direction of (8) Casserousse. The 3yo filly was impressive first up and can only improve here second up with an ideal soft set-up on speed.

(1) Nitro lapped up a hot tempo on debut with a win that had to be seen to be believed, but the change in tempo here suggests he’s overbet.

(4) Zocketman didn’t show much at the trials but once again showed he’s a raceday horse – sharp turn of speed and has an X-factor about him.

(6) Pimlico rounds out the numbers.

Selections:
(8) Casserousse
(1) Nitro
(4) Zocketman
(6) Pimlico

Suggested Bet: Casserousse WIN

Race 2

Keen to side with the very well-bred (1) Big Tiger. The 3yo colt put in a gritty first-up effort when posted wide over 1300m. He’ll take good fitness improvement out of that and looks very well placed second up rising to 1400m.

The danger is (9) Miss Lola – she’ll need a good ride to offset the wide draw, but the rise in trip helps her cause.

We didn’t get to see the best of (5) Riez Souvent on debut, strung up for room at a key stage before doing his best work late.

(3) Botanist was well backed on debut before pulling up 1/5 lame – expecting a strong bounce back here.

Selections:
(1) Big Tiger
(9) Miss Lola
(5) Riez Souvent
(3) Botanist

Suggested Bet: Big Tiger WIN

Race 3

Happy to side with the Michael Freedman x Berry combination in (11) Plaintiff. The $2.2m filly is very well bred and has shown impressive talent at the trials. She maps ideally and is the filly to beat.

(14) Snitzel Miss has been heavily backed in early markets, she comes into barrier 8 now with scratchings, which helps. It is still sticky though from the chute start, she’s a group filly no doubt but will need to be at her very best today.

The market watch is on (6) Balmoral Castle, solid debut down in Victoria when returning a smart rating – strips fitter and goes in the mix.

(2) Weekend Market makes her debut off back-to-back smart trials, draws well in gate 4 and should enjoy the run of the race.

(4) Artgirl copped a heavy on-speed bias at Wyong on debut – she’s the improver here.

Selections:
(11) Plaintiff
(14) Snitel Miss
(6) Balmoral Castle
(2) Weekend Market
(4) Artgirl

Suggested Bet: Plaintiff WIN

Race 4

16) Virgil’s Gift looked to need all of the 1200m to wind up fresh – 18 days between runs and up to 1500m reads well now.

(14) Beverly Hills finally broke through last start over 1250m; another who’s had a gap between runs (25 days) and rises in trip.

(3) Empress Of Japan is next best, hitting this race third up after two fitness-building runs. The key to her chances is scratchings on race morning.

(6) Emballee comes in a couple of spots barrier-wise and goes in the mix now on the home deck.

Selections:
(16) Virgil’s Gift
(14) Beverly Hills
(3) Empress Of Japan
(6) Emballee

Suggested Bet: No Bet

Race 5

Tricky race overall. (8) Automne Tree was a good thing beaten first up when finding plenty of traffic down the Hawkesbury straight. He strips fitter now second up and goes straight to 1500m.

(11) Mortal Halo couldn’t have been more impressive on debut at Hawkesbury when putting 4.4L on his rivals – up to 1500m from a smart inside draw reads well.

(3) Just Glamourous can improve back on a firmer deck here from a good draw.

The big market watch is on (6) Climb The Ladder, who has been kept up to the mark with a tick-over trial.

Selections:
(8) Automne Tree
(11) Mortal Halo
(3) Just Glamourous
(6) Climb The Ladder

Suggested Bet: No Bet

Race 6

Tough race overall. (5) Agita looks well placed here back on top of the ground and back over 1800m. The inside draw should see him settle positively with his race fitness edge.

(8) Heed The Omens is ready to attack 1800m now with a good base of fitness under his legs; the wide draw is a slight worry but Lloyd is booked to offset.

(9) Buckenara has been well backed in early markets – back-to-back progressive wins and full of confidence.

(1) Sosino rounds out the numbers and is another who has been well supported early.

Selections:
(5) Agita
(8) Heed The Omens
(9) Buckenara
(1) Sosino

Suggested Bet: No Bet

Race 7

(9) Hyperbolic has caught my eye in two recent smart trials. Slightly sticky gate here, but that should look a lot better come race morning. At odds, she goes on top.

The dry track saw (14) Fleeting Spirit bounce back to her best last start at Randwick; up to 1300m where she’s 1/1 reads well.

(8) Theblade is a very hard horse to catch – smart barrier and dominant ratings, it’s just whether you trust the horse itself at those odds.

Outside of that, (7) Missile Seeker and (3) Mirra Impact can figure in the finish.

Selections:
(9) Hyperbolic
(14) Fleeting Spirit
(8) Theblade
(7) Missile Seeker
(3) Mirra Impact

Suggested Bet: Hyperbolic E/W