Summary of Best Bets
Best Bet: Race 7 No.4 Raymond’s Reward
Next Best: Race 4 No.10 You’resogolden
Turf Talk:
- The track is rated a Good 4 to kick off this meeting with clear conditions forecast, and it is expected the track remains at this rating.
- The rail will return to the True position, having been pushed out slightly at the previous four meetings here.
- Generally an even playing track, with runners likely to come away from the inside lanes in the straight to the better going.
Key stats:
- Shane & Cassie Oxlade have a positive POT of +29% in their last 100 overall starters, and specifically here at their home track they have a winning strike rate of 17.3% at a POT of +22.9.
- Jake Toeroek rides the Strathalbyn track well with a winning strike rate of 17.2% here.
Race 1
Tough Maiden to kick off the meeting over the staying distance.
(1) Arlo’s Dream hit the line strongly last start at this track, the rise in distance looks likely to suit and he should race prominently.
(8) The Highlander is fit and proven over this distance, having run into the placings in a similar race last start, and based on his recent performances this looks a winnable race.
(2) Bocheeva put in a poor performance last start, but his form prior to that in similar races includes three placings in a row and he can bounce back.
(9) Lai Flipper has had plenty of chances so far in her career with little success, but she looks likely to get a soft lead with a light weight on her back and could pinch this.
Selections:
(1) Arlo’s Dream
(8) The Highlander
(2) Bocheeva
(9) Lai Flipper
Suggested bet: No bet
Race 2
(7) Stranded has been competitive in similar level Maidens so far this preparation, and again looks to have found a winnable race, setting up well from the inside barrier where he is likely to race in a strong position.
(8) Caer Ibormeith also maps to race prominently from a low barrier, so expect she will settle closer than last start and she can peak third-up now.
(5) Kappa Crucis finds an easier Maiden than the race he contested last start but may need some luck from the wider barrier early.
(4) Cornerback was solid last start when making his debut for the stable and looks a likely improver rising in distance today.
Selections:
(7) Stranded
(8) Caer Ibormeith
(5) Kappa Crucis
(4) Cornerback
Suggested bet: No bet
Race 3
(3) Lapilli looked well below her best last start when finishing towards the rear, appearing not to handle the slow tempo, but this race sets up to be run at a quicker tempo so an improved performance is expected.
(2) Piwhane was hitting the line strongly late last start and looks an improver fitter second-up.
(5) Brooklyn Baby has been finishing close to the winners in similar races here at her past two starts and should be around the mark again.
(4) Octavian Treasure will likely be better suited rising up in distance and can get a soft run from barrier 2 which should land her in an ideal position in the run.
Selections:
(3) Lapilli
(2) Piwhane
(5) Brooklyn Baby
(4) Octavian Treasure
Suggested bet: No bet
Race 4
(10) You’resogolden showed good speed when finding the lead quickly on debut and looks suited dropping back slightly to the 1100m trip and jumping from an inside draw, while also holding a race experience edge over her rivals.
(1) Aramoso has had plenty of chances but his recent form comes from stronger Maiden races and he could feature if producing his best.
(6) Pretty Morsel finished within a length of the winner in a similar race last start and should go close again if repeating that effort.
(4) Four Pinetinis looks the best of the debutants and comes from the Jolly stable, who have a strong record with first starters.
Selections:
(10) You’resogolden
(1) Aramoso
(6) Pretty Morsel
(4) Four Pinetinis
Suggested bet: (10) You’resogolden (Win)
Race 5
(2) Aitch D’amico looks better suited dropping back in grade and returns to a track where he has a strong record (2:1-1-0), which should see improvement.
(6) Warrandyte Road has been in career-best form, winning two of his past three starts, gets in light and should again race prominently.
(1) Classy Claret broke through for his maiden win last start, is proven at the trip and has confidence to build on.
(3) Allegedly has an excellent home-track record (10:4-1-3) and was competitive in a stronger race last start, although the distance is a query.
Selections:
(2) Aitch D’amico
(6) Warrandyte Road
(1) Classy Claret
(3) Allegedly
Suggested bet: No bet
Race 6
(1) France’s Boy and (9) The Ice Cutter fought out a similar race last start, finishing first and second, and this time France’s Boy may be able to turn the tables given the expected slower tempo and his weight advantage. The Ice Cutter will be competitive again if he reproduces his last start effort.
(6) Didwewin has been consistent with two seconds at this track and trip, maps well and gets weight relief.
(10) Joviale hit the line strongly last start and should be better suited from a lower barrier, allowing him to settle closer.
Selections:
(1) France’s Boy
(9) The Ice Cutter
(6) Didwewin
(10) Joviale
Suggested bet: No bet
Race 7
(4) Raymond’s Reward sets up well dropping down in grade and from a race map perspective, as he can race on speed from a low barrier and looks likely to get the run of the race, making him hard to catch.
(12) Brazano will be hoping for a genuinely run race to allow him to finish strongly, aided by a light weight.
(1) Grinzinger Ace may bounce back after a disappointing last run given his prior stronger form.
(2) In That Mode rates highly dropping slightly in grade, he looks likely to get back from a wide barrier so may need luck but fitter today with a better set up could bring on improvement
Selections:
(4) Raymond’s Reward
(12) Brazano
(1) Grinzinger Ace
(2) In That Mode
Suggested bet: (4) Raymond’s Reward (Win)
