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Can Ceolwolf bounce back?

Can Ceolwolf bounce back?

Runner by Runner Preview: 7 Stakes

NSW Analyst Dean Watling has taken a forensic look at this year's 7 Stakes

Dean Watling by Dean Watling
September 19, 2025
in Analysis, News
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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(1) Ceolwulf (NZ) – Joseph Pride | J: Chad Schofield | B: 3
Comes off a strong last-start SP of $2.80 but was “flat” there after a cracking first-up run when wide and covering inferior ground. He gets another good setup from the draw, but the question remains: will there be enough tempo up front for him to unleash his best turn of foot?

WATCH: Ceolwulf’s last start

Lindermann as gutsy as ever to win the Chelmsford 💪

Sir Delius and Vauban 👀🏆 pic.twitter.com/jouO5hGOVL

— 7HorseRacing 🐎 (@7horseracing) September 6, 2025

(2) Light Infantry Man (FR) – Ciaron Maher | J: Ethan Brown | B: 6
Beaten 9.1L last start, this looks another fitness builder as he works toward the Hill Stakes before a likely Cox Plate tilt.

(3) Private Eye – Joseph Pride | J: Adam Hyeronimus | B: 9
Terrific winning the Lawrence Stakes first up before being heavily backed in the G2 Tramway ($2.90 into $2.10). The early work to cross from barrier 14 told late, but it was still a game effort. He rises further in class now, which is the knock, but his on-speed pattern suits with the rail out +7m.

WATCH: Private Eye take out the Lawrence first up

PRIVATE EYE is back! 🕵🏻‍♂️👁️

The one-time G1 winner (and regular Everest podium getter) wins the G2 PB Lawrence Stakes at Caulfield.. 💨

🎥: @Racing pic.twitter.com/EcGYFmiWbD

— World Horse Racing (@WHR) August 16, 2025

(4) Royal Patronage (FR) – Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott | J: Tim Clark | B: 2
Still holds a Bill Ritchie nomination but is likely to line up here. He’s 2/2 first up in Australia, including the G1 Canterbury Stakes. Trials this time in have looked a touch dour, suggesting the stable has him forward for 1600m first up. Will be fit enough and maps to land on speed and give a sight.

(5) Gringotts (NZ) – Ciaron Maher | J: Tommy Berry | B: 1
Fair effort fresh but more was expected. The big tick today is the smart inside draw, which should see him much more prominent in transit. Back to a good 4 from a bog heavy 10 is a significant positive. Profiles as the horse with the most improvement to come.

(6) Lindermann – Chris Waller | J: Nash Rawiller | B: 8
Found plenty to score fresh at big odds. He’ll find this harder and will likely face more pressure, but maps to do little work early.

(7) Kovalica (NZ) – Chris Waller | J: Zac Lloyd | B: 10
Awkward draw likely forces him back. He’ll be warming up late over the 1600m but probably needs 1800m+ to be a winning chance.

(8) Militarize (NZ) – Chris Waller | J: Jason Collett | B: 4
Outstanding fresh run in the G2 Tramway, which suited those on speed and inside lanes. Draws well again and looks back to his best this prep. The knock is he loses J. McDonald and could be open to a flat run second up. One to watch more closely third up.

(9) Kadavar (NZ) – Chris Waller | J: Kerrin McEvoy | B: 11
$251 chance and should probably be longer. Outclassed.

(11) Fangirl – Chris Waller | J: James McDonald | B: 5
Resented Caulfield and the Melbourne way of going first up. Back to Randwick and her pet 1600m trip, where she is already a multiple G1 winner. Perfect draw on a day where being too far back may be a negative. Looks her race to lose, but $2.50 is getting skinny.

 WATCH: Fangirl’s ‘flat’ run in Melbourne

IS THIS THE BEST HORSE IN AUSTRALIA ⁉️

TREASURETHE MOMENT sweeps a stacked field in the G1 Memsie Stakes… 🔥

pic.twitter.com/Ul9yN6v5IO

— World Horse Racing (@WHR) August 30, 2025

Summary

It looks (11) Fangirl’s race to lose on paper. She should be handy enough from gate 5 and will relish the return to Sydney and a good 4 surface. The query is purely her price.

The horse at odds I could back is (5) Gringotts. He was only fair fresh, but with a much more positive map here and the shift onto a firm track, he could easily jump out of the ground.

Outside of that, the field looks pretty well dialled in from a market perspective.

Tags: CeolwulfFangirlLindermannPrivate EyeRandwickSeven Stakes
Dean Watling

Dean Watling

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