Best Bets
Best Bet: Race 9 (10) Our Justify
Next Best: Race 8 (8) Forever With Ned
Best Value: Race 7 (11) Timeonlees
Track Talk
- The track is currently rated a Heavy 9. Overcast weather is forecast, so despite no rain being expected, conditions are unlikely to improve enough to produce an upgrade.
- The rail moves out from the true position used at the previous meeting and will be +7m for the entire circuit.
- Seymour is generally an even track, with fair starting points and a long straight that gives runners the opportunity to win from a variety of positions in running.
Stats That Matter
- Olivia East is making excellent use of her claim and has found strong form at this time of year, riding 19 winners from her past 100 rides for a POT of +30.5%. She has two rides on the program.
- Pat Kearney brings two runners to the meeting and continues to train winners consistently. He has produced 18 winners from his past 100 starters for a POT of +44.9%.
Race 7
It looks a difficult race map for several of the stronger chances, but (11) Timeonlees should enjoy an ideal run from barrier three and can settle prominently on speed. He was a dominant winner on a wet track two starts ago before contesting a stronger race last start, so he can bounce back dropping in grade under a suitable set-up. (10) Salt Spray has mixed his form recently but drops into the easiest race he has contested for some time, so improvement should be expected. (8) Governor King has finished down the track at his past couple of starts but rises in distance, which looks suitable, and he is proven on wet ground. (3) Perfuse should now be nearing peak fitness third-up. He has a good record over this distance and is a winner on wet ground, so the conditions give him an opportunity to recapture his best form.
Selections
(11) Timeonlees
(10) Salt Spray
(8) Governor King
(3) Perfuse
Suggested Bet: (11) Timeonlees – Each Way
Race 8
(8) Forever With Ned was a sharp winner in a similar race two starts ago before being well supported in stronger company last time. He came up lame following that run, providing a clear excuse for the performance, and he is capable of bouncing back fresh under ideal wet conditions. (4) Meisho appeared not to appreciate the synthetic track last start, so that performance can be forgiven. Her earlier form was much stronger and she can improve returning to turf. (5) Scoobartie finally broke through for a win last start after a string of placings. He remains in strong form and can continue to race well, although he will need luck from a wide barrier. (15) Adki is a veteran runner at big odds but boasts multiple wins on wet ground and should be able to settle on speed in a race lacking obvious pressure, which may bring her into contention.
Selections
(8) Forever With Ned
(4) Meisho
(5) Scoobartie
(15) Adki
Suggested Bet: (8) Forever With Ned – Win
Race 9
(10) Our Justify has hit the line strongly at her past two starts and looks well suited dropping in grade. The rise in distance and the long, even Seymour straight should give her every opportunity to return to winning form. (9) Cashout resumes and ran well at this track when first-up last preparation. He maps to enjoy a soft run close to the speed and should be in a strong position throughout. (3) Capricorn Star comes from an in-form stable and sets up well. She drops slightly in grade and has previously performed well on heavy tracks, giving her every chance to produce a peak performance. (1) Zourain rates highly dropping in grade. He will need luck from a wide barrier, but with the right run he should be capable of figuring prominently.
Selections
(10) Our Justify
(9) Cashout
(3) Capricorn Star
(1) Zourain
Suggested Bet: (10) Our Justify – Win
