| Race | Horse | Summary |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | (3) Zoupurring | Needs to handle a step up in grade but is in winning form and suited |
| 2 | (12) Skadoosh | Coming out of strong maiden form lines, forgive last start |
| 8 | (3) Jilladora | Best Value – Loves track/trip and comes off confidence boosting win |
Turf Talk:
- Back on the Morphettville Parks track for the first time in almost a month and the rail is set to True for the first time since August.
- Expecting clear conditions race day so the track should remain at a Good rating. Watching race tempos but generally the track favours runners up on speed.
The stats that matter:
- Justin Pickering places his horses well at Morphettville Parks: 17.5% strike rate with a POT of +63.2%.
Race 1
(3) ZOUPURRING is a last start winner rising in grade here today, he comes in with a light weight after dropping 6.5kgs from last start. He is drawn well to the inside and should be prominent in the run.
(5) NASHO looks your likely leader and has a light weight, with the light weight on his back he could take catching if left alone, but he may be more dynamic over more ground.
(1) SNOW PATROL makes his debut for a new stable here, his Victorian form has been average but in much stronger races, looking at him here to see any improvement.
(7) DANCING STORM finished strongly last start but left himself far too much to do late, if he settles closer it will suit with a light weight on his back.
Selections:
(3) Zoupurring
(5) Nasho
(1) Snow Patrol
(7) Dancing Storm
Suggested Bet – Zoupurring (Win)
Race 2
(12) SKADOOSH comes out of two highly rated maidens in her last two starts, she was well supported last time but was slow away getting too far back, she could be an improver here if she gets away cleanly.
(1) BEL RAGAZZO chased a good one home at Murray Bridge last start and looks to map prominently from the low barrier which will suit.
(3) LIGHT THE NIGHT ran into the placings when resuming showing some good improvement, drawn well and fitter now so could improve.
(9) ARTISTIC ANGEL has been hard to catch in her career but she has showed promise and has contested at black type level so wouldn’t surprise if she jumped out of the ground here.
Selections:
(12) Skadoosh
(1) Bel Ragazzo
(3) Light The Night
(9) Artistic Angel
Suggested Bet – Skadoosh (Win)
Race 3
(1) WILD WINNER finished off strongly last start and will be better fitter 2nd up now and rises slightly in trip which should suit.
(4) SEA OF LIGHTS hit the line well last start which suggests she will be suited at the 1400m trip, looking for an even track for her as she may get back in the run.
Forgiving (8) EXTINGUISH for his last start after he had to travel wide throughout, he draws much better here today for a softer run so expecting to see an improved performance.
(3) SEA OF LIGHTS is 3rd up into her prep now and looks suited rising in trip, her last race has looked a good form line in recent weeks.
Selections:
(1) Wild Winner
(4) Sea Of Lights
(2) Falanghina
(3) Sea Of Lights
Suggested Bet – No bet, hard to split a few here
Race 4
Don’t have a lot between the top two runners in this market in (1) SPEEDTAIL & (2) THEBIGSOSSO.
Leaning to (1) SPEEDTAIL given he has some recent form in what looks like stronger races, he will settle forwards of midfield which looks ideal.
(2) THEBIGSOSSO has won two in a row and can’t knock his recent form, just needs to handle the step up in grade.
(7) NARALINGA was solid in a stronger race last week, his run previous to that at Horsham was good as well, if the track is even he can make a big run late.
(9) LOVIN’ LAUGHS maps well and looks the likely leader, will be suited if the track goes leaderish.
Selections:
(1) Speedtail
(2) Thebigsosso
(7) Naralinga
(9) Lovin’ Laughs
Suggested Bet – No bet
Race 5
(10) THINKINGNINTYNINE improved into the placings last start and gets a good set up in this, he has speed and can settle in a handy position and will have a light weight on his back so if he skips along out in front on a soft tempo he might be hard to catch late.
(1) THE MUFFIN MAN comes across from Victoria with some strong form lines which read well here, he will be on speed as well but gives a big weight advantage to (10) THINKINGNINTYNINE.
(4) WHATSANAMEGEORGE drops in grade after he ran 4th off a wide run last start, can bounce back here with a better race map.
(5) ALCHIAN put in a bold effort last time in The Halidon Cup, that form reads well for this slight drop in grade.
Selections:
(10) Thinkingnintynine
(1) The Muffin Man
(4) Whatsanamegeorge
(5) Alchian
Suggested Bet – No bet, tough staying race to have confidence
Race 6
Race map looks the key in this race, if the track favours on speed types (1) ITSUKUSHIMA might be the one that gets the run of the race, the only risk with him in this is going to be the wide barrier, he may need luck late.
(3) FALAISE impressed when winning last start, can certainly go on with it again but will be back in the run, so will need the track to be playing fairly to improve his chances.
(5) THERMODYNAMIC could get the on speed run quicker than others, he drops back in trip which looks more suitable than the last start.
(2) KIRKLISTON BLU could land in a hnady position if the track is playing as expected, he is 1st up today and has been a 1st up winner previously
Selections:
(1) Itsukushima
(3) Falaise
(5) Thermodynamic
(2) Kirkliston Blu
Suggested Bet – No bet, prefer to see bias before betting
Race 7
(9) ROUND TWO was disappointing last start when well in the market but may be better suited in an easier race, his form earlier this prep would be good enough to win.
(1) SCHRODER’S MISTAKE drops in grade which will suit and he is the likely leader here, if conditions suit he could prove hard to catch. (10) STEEL TSUNAMI has been met with strong market support early, he can settle in the front half of the field and looks likely to come into this at a good level of fitness 3rd up now, was a 3rd up winner previously. Had little interest in (2) WELCOMETOTHESHOW earlier due to his wide map, but with some big scratching’s his race map isn’t as tough as it looked earlier.
Selections:
(9) Round Two
(1) Schroder’s Mistake
(10) Steel Tsunami
(2) Welcometotheshow
Suggested Bet – No Bet
Race 8
(3) JILLADORA had little luck in some of her earlier races this prep, so they took her back down in grade and she saluted well to gain some good confidence. She returns to a track where she has a good record and gets in well with a lighter weight. She needs to take a step up in grade but she has a set up that can bring her on well enough.
(4) TAHNEE TREASURE is resuming off some solid trials and she has won fresh previously. She might have improvement to come but she is racing over her favourite track and trip set up.
(2) PEARL ADIOS comes out of some strong form races behind the likes of Shady Thinker and will be better suited rising in trip.
(13) ANGELIC APPEAL looks likely to settle back in the run and doing her best work late. She gets in light at the weights so can be finishing off hard and will be hoping for a fast tempo.
Selections:
(3) Jilladora
(4) Tahnee Treasure
(2) Pearl Adios
(13) Angelic Appeal
Suggested Bet – Jilladora (EW)
Race 9
(12) BEAUTY BOUND resumes here slightly down in grade from where she finished last prep. She has a good record first up, she will be suited if the track is playing evenly.
(5) BIG WATCH comes across from Victoria with some solid form lines and looks well suited from an inside barrier.
(1) FREE BEER has been in super form this prep with 2 wins from 3 starts. He will race handy from a good barrier and be strong late but would prefer to see him on a wetter track.
(10) SHADOW EAGLE is another runner who is in good form and coming out of some handy races, but the wide barrier won’t make it very easy for him so he might have to go back and hope for luck late.
Selections:
(12) Beauty Bound
(5) Big Watch
(1) Free Beer
(10) Shadow Eagle
Suggested Bet – No bet, maps are messy which dents confidence
