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Betsy’s Weekly Victorian Review

Track patterns, key takeaways & horses to follow from last week's Victorian meetings.

Matt Welsh by Matt Welsh
August 11, 2025
in Tips
Reading Time: 2 mins read
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Weekly Review – Week Commencing July 21

A busy week of racing across Victoria saw a mix of winter heavy decks, synthetic surfaces, and metro feature days. Here’s how each track played, the patterns that emerged, and the runners worth following going forward.

 

July 21 – Sale (Rail +6m, Soft 7)

The rail was out 6m (true last meeting on a heavy). Inside was fine early before they gradually worked wider, though the fence remained serviceable.
Horse to Follow: Godtfred Kirk

 

July 22 – Ballarat Synthetic (True)

Kickback was again a factor, so being in clean air was preferable, with no major disadvantage on-speed. Kickback wasn’t as severe as recent meetings. Strong northerlies blew across the back straight.
Horse to Follow: Ziggy Plays Guitar

 

July 23 – Sandown Hillside (Rail +8m)

From the 1000m chute they edged away from the fence. In circle races, rails were fine early, but showers during the day saw jockeys scouting away from the inside late.

 

July 24 – Warrnambool (Rail +4m, Heavy 9)

Genuine winter ground. Inside lanes 1–2 weren’t quite as effective as lanes 3+, but winners came from on and off the speed. The track handled the conditions well.
Horse to Follow: Crossoverkid

 

July 25 – Geelong (Rail +9m 1700–800m, +12m remainder)

Raced evenly. On-speed runners were suited, but winners could come from anywhere with the right tempo and ability.
Horse to Follow: Yum

 

July 26 – Caulfield (Rail +4m)

Northerly winds from the previous day eased but still affected the sprint chute. Early races from the chute were run conservatively. Overall, it was a day for cover and run-on types: 13 of 15 placegetters in sprint races had cover in run. Be wary of ‘flashing light’ runs – there were plenty.
Horses to Follow: Meiwa, Gala Queen

July 26 – Murtoa (True)

Super heavy conditions meant fitness and wet-track ability were crucial. Inside was OK early, but the wider lanes were used as the day progressed. Big margins were the order of the day.

 

Tags: Blackbookers
Matt Welsh

Matt Welsh

Matt Welsh is the founder of Betsy and one of Australia’s most respected form analysts. A former executive at Racing.com and Racing Victoria, Matt has built a reputation for market-leading analysis, clear communication, and a deep understanding of both racing and wagering. With Betsy, he has assembled a team of trusted, high-quality form analysts dedicated to delivering expert analysis that will arm Betsy punters for a winning day at the races.

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