Special day at Seymour being the first of the Racing For Our Regions meetings, raising funds for those impacted by recent bushfires. To make a donation please click here or on the banner below.
Turf Talk:
- Seymour is a well-designed circuit. Sprint races up to 1300m use the chute with a long run into the lone bend, while the mile start also enjoys a generous run to the first turn.
- Hot weather forecast with light winds, track should dry out.
- Rail back to the True after being out 8m, expect the inside few lanes to hold up. Think those on speed will have some edge.
Key stats:
- Anthony and Sam Freedman are flying. Going at 25% from their last 100 runners, that increases to 32.2% when they take horses to Seymour.
- Lloyd Kennewell is another who has been in good form: 21 winners from his last 100 runners.
- Leading jockeys heading to the meeting include Dan Stackhouse, Jamie Mott and Ben Allen, who are all going at 19% from their last 100 rides.
Race 1
Think (1) Flying Khan brings the right form line to this race. He was trapped deep/ran well on debut over an unsuitable 1100m back on New Year’s Eve. He then covered ground on the tighter turning Camperdown circuit when good late second-up. Last start, he went back to near last at Sandown in a slowly run mile and didn’t have much luck in the straight, but he charged to the line. He was home the second-best last 200m split of the meeting and the form has already proven strong with second and third running 1-2 in a race at Pakenham last night. Like Teo Nugent going on, hope they try and push a little more forward with the long run down the back straight before the home bend. Ready to win.
(5) Wonderdownunder and (8) Celtic Viva come through the same race at Sale and there’s not much between them, the latter had little luck there. Don’t think that was the strongest Maiden, but both have strong winning claims third-up, getting to the mile.
Suggested bet: Backing Flying Khan.
Race 2
(9) Milos Filos trialled up very well leading into the campaign then got home the second best last 600m split of the meeting running fourth at Geelong. Draws the pole here which should see her settle handier and with even luck in running I think she can break her maiden.
The Charlotte Littlefield-trained (1) Angel In Black ran well at her second start last campaign before being outclassed at Caulfield. She has only had the one jump-out and went ‘fairly’ there plus draws a gate that likely sees them ride her conservatively. Good hope, but looks under the odds at $2.
Suggested bet: Milos Filos looks the bet at $4, can see her trimming up.
Race 3
Like the way (4) Farside has jumped-out for his return from a short let-up. He never got a crack at them on debut in what has proved a strong form race at Gosford. He was then horrible at Randwick but a tongue tie goes on her, suggesting maybe they are on top of an issue. Loved the way he worked to the line in that recent Cranbourne jump-out and he draws for a reasonable trailing run.
(13) Mirraway has shown ability in her jump-outs ahead of this debut. Should get a nice run from gate three and finds a most winnable race on debut.
Always had some time for (12) Mahmudah. She’s drawn awkwardly here and will likely drift right back but her run this track over 1200m last start was a bottler.
Suggested bet: Backing Farside – the $5 available appeals. Also having something small on Mahmudah at $41.
