Best Bets
Best Bet – R2 (3) Extra Fling
Next Best – R1 (7) Harsh
Value Bet – R4 (4) Whatsanamegeorge
Track
- Showery conditions are forecast for both race day and the days leading in, so expecting to work off a Soft 5/6 track.
- The rail remains in the same position as it was at the previous meeting here two weeks ago and will be +3m from the 950m-450m and True the remainder.
- In similar conditions at the meeting two weeks ago, runners had the advantage if they settled in the front half of the field in the run and anticipate runners will come away from the inside lanes in the straight given the rail remains in a similar position.
Stats
- Alysha Warren is another apprentice who is finding form at an important time of the year to still have a 1.5kg claim. She has ridden 16 winners from her last 100 rides and returned a POT of +44.1%.
- Gary Boyce brings a handy team to this meeting. He is having a handy run, producing 15 winners from his previous 100 starters and returning a POT of +25%.
Race 1
(7) Harsh has been consistent in his last 3 starts when running into the placings in all 3 and 2 of those coming at this track/distance set up. He ran 2nd to a strong winner last start but put a big gap on the 3rd placed runner, if he can hold that form, he will prove hard to beat. (11) Blue Isles was moderate in her last start but gets her chance to improve getting back to a track she has a good record at and dropping in grade, if the track gets very wet she will also be suited. (12) Goodwin Guru was a big winner in her last start to break through at maiden level, rising in distance again here should suit off the back of that performance and help her handle the rise in grade. (4) Kailee’s Boy was average in his last start but has a good record here and is 3rd up into the prep now so potentially at his peak fitness and can improve.
Selections:
(7) Harsh
(11) Blue Isles
(12) Goodwin Guru
(4) Kailee’s Boy
Suggested Bet: (7) Harsh Win
Race 2
(3) Extra Fling was well supported on debut and presented to win in the straight but couldn’t fight off the more seasoned performer and had to settle for 2nd. They put a big gap on the rest of the field there so expect he will be better for that run and prove hard to beat in a similar set up. (4) No Bail is resuming for his 2nd campaign, the maidens he contested in his debut prep have produced some strong form and he looked good in a recent trial win so looks capable of a strong 1st up run. (11) Belle Montagne showed solid improvement to finish in the placings in her 2nd run. She gets a similar set up here today so can be around the mark. (6) All Too Elegant went forwards last week but faded quickly, she may be better suited in this set up and dropping back in distance.
Selections:
(3) Extra Fling
(4) No Bail
(11) Belle Montagne
(6) All Too Elegant
Suggested Bet: (3) Extra Fling Win
Race 3
(1) Mr Ribtickler makes his debut for a new stable and looks capable of a strong debut performance based on his 2 recent trials that he won easily in the build up to this run. He looks in good order from those runs and has shown good early speed early into his career so looks to get an ideal set up. (10) Mystrix has run into the placings twice this prep and both of those runs were at this track, expect her to go close again in a similar set up and she maps for a forward showing. (2) Tassoro is on the quick back-up having run a close 2nd last week at Gawler, this looks no harder, and he gets in well at the weights with a handy apprentice claim again so looks every chance. (6) Healthandhappiness was met with solid support on debut and will potentially find this a slightly easier maiden, he can find improvement from that debut run but needs luck from an outside barrier.
Selections:
(1) Mr Ribtickler
(10) Mystrix
(2) Tassoro
(6) Healthandhappiness
Suggested Bet: No bet
Race 4
(4) Whatsanamegeorge finds himself well down in grade from the previous 2 runs he has had so far this prep. This is the easiest race he has seen for some time and he is at peak fitness now 3rd up and up at a suitable 2200m trip, he looks hard to beat as long as the track doesn’t become far too wet. (2) United Legend was a winner two starts back and then competed well in a stronger race next time out. He drops back down in grade and should be suited over more ground, gets every chance again. (1) Theodor was a big winner in his last start at this track/distance set up and is undefeated in two runs over this set up, he gets his ideal set up again here but will need to carry a huge weight to win again. (6) Bush Inference ran 3rd over this same track/distance set up last time, he maps well again and can settle on speed which will likely suit.
Selections:
(4) Whatsanamegeorge
(2) United Legend
(1) Theodor
(6) Bush Inference
Suggested Bet: (4) Whatsanamegeorge Each-way
Race 5
(5) Fussy As has mixed his form so far this prep but could be capable of finding improvement here today given he looks likely to get a soft run up on speed, the race maps to be run at a moderate tempo which should suit him and could make him hard to catch. (7) Maldivica won well in maiden grade two starts ago and tackled a stronger race at Murray Bridge next time, dropping back in grade here today could bring on improvement. (11) Artistic Angel got a long way back last start and never really figured in the finish. It is the furthest she has ever settled back from a leader in the run so expect they will look to settle closer today and she can find improvement. (1) Precipice makes his Australian debut here, his New Zealand form was solid enough and if the track was wet it would suit his chances, so he looks capable of winning in this grade but will rely on some luck early from a wide barrier.
Selections:
(5) Fussy As
(7) Maldivica
(11) Artistic Angel
(1) Precipice
Suggested Bet: No bet
Race 6
(8) Aloha Blue showed sharp improvement when she ran into the placings last week at Gawler. She likes to settle on speed and will be suited if she can get a similar run here today and dropping back to the 1050m trip should suit. (3) Here Comes Hogan was a good winner at Horsham last start, this appears no harder and he maps well again. Will want a wet track to show his best form. (11) Reine Of Nine has placed in two of her three starts this prep, she was 3rd in a stronger race last start so should be suited back down in grade and likely hitting the line strongly late. (4) Je City resumes for a new team. He was competitive in stronger races last prep and while he may get better over more ground after this run, he can perform well fresh having been a 1st up winner previously.
Selections:
(8) Aloha Blue
(3) Here Comes Hogan
(11) Reine Of Nine
(4) Je City
Suggested Bet: No bet
Race 7
(10) She Rex broke through for an overdue win at Bordertown 2 starts ago before stepping up in grade last start and running midfield. She drops back in level today which should suit and based off the last start performance she looks ready for the 1400m trip. (5) Southern Monarch has made a solid start to her career winning 2 of 3 runs so far. She has shown early speed in the early part of her career so expecting another positive run here which should suit at this track and she will be well aided with 3kgs coming off her back after a claim. (7) I Am Ralph ran a close 3rd in a strong Class 1 race over this track/distance set up last time, he may find this slightly easier which could see him find improvement. (9) High Garden has been moderate in 3 runs so far this prep but his better form last time in work was in stronger races. If he can recapture his best form now 4th up into the prep he can find enough improvement to win and jumping from barrier 1 should put him in a handy position in the run.
Selections:
(10) She Rex
(5) Southern Monarch
(7) I Am Ralph
(9) High Garden
Suggested Bet: No bet
Race 8
(9) Morlaix has a consistent recent record including running 2nd in her last 2 starts. She looks close to a breakthrough, and these conditions should suit and give her every chance to go one better. She is drawn wide but gets a long run in down the back straight to find a position with some cover. (7) Chance Taken is resuming off a spell. His last run was in the Adelaide Cup and while he is sharply back down in grade, this looks well under his best distance, but he has won 1st up and at the 1600m distance previously so would not come as a huge surprise at this level. (4) I’m Kenny raced on speed last week but failed to hold up under the pressure in the run, he looks likely to get a softer run out in front in this race so could prove tougher to catch. (5) Reciprocal is resuming here. He hasn’t previously shown a great deal of his best form early into a prep but is kicking off down in grade which may help him find form quicker this time in work.
Selections:
(9) Morlaix
(7) Chance Taken
(4) I’m Kenny
(5) Reciprocal
Suggested Bet: No bet
